Europa League, Semifinal, Second Leg, Thursday, 08.05.2025 at 21:00
The economic laws of European top-flight soccer are suspended in an urban stadium near the Arctic Circle.
A team in bright yellow jerseys regularly upsets the world’s biggest clubs in front of just over 8,000 spectators at Aspmyra Stadium.
For my Bodö/Glimt Tottenham tip, I went through the archives again and discovered an old highlight. A few years ago, the Yellow Horde celebrated a 6-1 victory over AS Roma – back then still under the guidance of Jose Mourinho.
Spurs coach Ange Postecoglou knows from his own experience how grueling a trip to northern Norway can be. As coach of Celtic Glasgow, the Australian lost both direct duels against Bodö/Glimt (1-3, 0-2).
If the Lilywhites had been able to, they would probably have avoided this dangerous away game. So, according to my Bodö/Glimt Tottenham tip, they will have to settle for “Bodö/Glimt over 1.5 goals” and hope that they can celebrate enough goals themselves. You can find the odds of 2.30 at VBET.
The bookmakers’ prediction
Without a lot of commitment, the Spurs’ 3-1 win in the first leg at their own stadium might not be enough. The lead is deceptive and can be quickly squandered after just a few moments of inattention.
The bookmakers’ verdict suggests a similar assessment. A win for the Norwegian hosts is priced at around 3.00.
I wouldn’t name the visitors from London as clear favorites to win, with odds of up to 2.30. Therefore, I would recommend offers such as this Bwin voucher.
AI prediction Bodö/Glimt vs. Tottenham: ChatGPT’s prediction
Artificial intelligence sees the Spurs as having a much stronger advantage than I do in my Bodö/Glimt Tottenham prediction. However, this is only evident in the suggested betting options with higher risk.
For a soft start, the AI prediction recommends odds of 1.55 at Interwetten for “Over 2.5 goals.” This limit has been exceeded in six of the Yellow Horde’s seven home games.
ChatGPT is also a little bolder when it comes to Spurs’ chances of winning. At Bet365, the artificial intelligence recommends odds of 2.45 for an away win for the Lilywhites. However, I question this after only two wins in their previous six competitive games.
I argue even more vehemently against the AI’s high-risk tip of “Tottenham to win with a handicap of -1.” This bet is available at NEO.bet at odds of 4.50 and, in my opinion, is not quite as highly rated as it should be.
Analysis: Bodö/Glimt vs. Tottenham
The Lilywhites deservedly won the first leg in London 3-1. But does this triumph make a team that has had a disappointing season (at least in the Premier League) the favorite against one of the strongest home teams in the Europa League?
No team in the world would find an away game in northern Norway against Bodö/Glimt easy. Least of all Ange Postecoglou’s side.
The Spurs have won only three of their six away games in this Europa League season. The team from the British Isles has conceded at least one goal in five of those six games.
Based on this experience alone, Tottenham should not travel to Norway without ambitions to score at least one goal, otherwise their place in the final will be in jeopardy pretty quickly.
Odds analysis
The attack department is in demand in Bodö/Glimt Tottenham’s tip, I’m sure of that. The Spurs have scored 1.92 goals per Europa League game and have often shown themselves to be in good form offensively.
However, it gets interesting when you consider that the home side have also impressed in attack, averaging 1.87 goals per game.
I’m really looking forward to Thursday evening, especially with regard to this match, which I expect to see a few goals. With odds of around 1.82, I also see value in a bet on “Both teams to score & Over 2.5 goals.”
Bodö/Glimt vs. Tottenham odds: An ice bath in Norway
Kjetil Knutsen never deviates from his offensive style of play, including aggressive pressing, no matter how superior the opposing team is.
Bodö/Glimt’s scouting focus is on national players from the surrounding area, who are taught Knutsen’s 4-3-3 system at an early age. By the time they make it into the first team, they already know every step.
A team can hardly be more coordinated than the Yellow Horde. In addition, the northern Norwegians benefit enormously from their home games. Due to the adverse weather conditions, these are played on artificial turf, which suits their style of play perfectly.
So anyone facing Knutsen’s team in Norway must be prepared for a brutal experience. Since 2020, Bodö/Glimt has played 36 home games in European competitions, losing only five.
In addition, the men, whose fans often have oversized yellow toothbrushes at the ready, have won 28 of their last 34 European home games.
Enough material for a legend
Kjetil Knutsen’s players have not given up hope of reaching the Europa League final.
Bodö/Glimt has won five of its six European home games this EL season, scoring 19 goals in the process – the best record of any Europa League team.
Top scorer Kasper Högh (7 goals) is a striker with almost unbelievable efficiency (50 percent shot conversion rate) and a pillar of the team’s offensive play.
It is common for teams to orient themselves towards their most successful players after a certain period of time. This phenomenon has also occurred with the Yellow Horde.
Bodö/Glimt has the best shot-on-goal ratio (58 percent) and the strongest goal-to-shot ratio (23.5 percent) in the current competition.
Bodö/Glimt laid the foundation for a Norwegian team’s first appearance in a European semi-final in their home game against Lazio Rome (2-0). It was a similar story in the previous round of 16, where the reigning Conference League winners from Piraeus had to take a 3-0 defeat in Norway into the second leg.
This time, the home and away games are reversed from Knutsen’s perspective, but the potential for another surprise is still there.
My Bodö/Glimt Tottenham tip:
The Spurs have rarely impressed this season. In addition, visiting coach Ange Postecoglou is likely to be without several key players.
In addition to the absence of Lucas Bergvall, James Maddison and Heung-min Son are also likely to miss the second meeting with Bodö/Glimt.
My Bodö/Glimt Tottenham tip: Bodö/Glimt over 1.5 goals!
