Premier League, Saturday, 01/02/2025 at 4:00 PM
Tock, Tock! There is a knock at the European Cup ranks in the English Premier League. And who is at the door? Surprisingly, the “Cherries”.
According to my Bournemouth Liverpool prediction, they will now give even the league leaders everything they’ve got. But in the end, the AFC will still lose their first competitive game in over two months.
Easy win for the league leaders? Not a chance! Both teams have not been beaten since November 30th – Bournemouth in 11 games and Liverpool in 18. This shows that both teams are currently in top form.
Bournemouth recently made a statement with an impressive 5-0 win over Nottingham. Liverpool, on the other hand, are always a formidable side, even after an intense run in the Champions League group stage.
However, the Reds know that Bournemouth are no longer an easy opponent this year. The “Cherries” have already beaten Manchester City and Arsenal at home – a testament to their strength in the Premier League.
So why the Bournemouth Liverpool tip: half-time/final score 2/2? LFC have scored at least three goals in 10 of their 15 Premier League games against Bournemouth.
At the same time, the “Cherries” have only scored three times in their last 11 meetings with the Reds themselves.
This initially points to a clear dominance for Liverpool. However, Bournemouth is a much stronger team this year. Not only has it given top teams the shivers, but it also has a robust defense and plays fast transitions.
Tyler Adams, one of their key players, for example, leads the Premier League in ball recoveries per game (4.8). When Adams plays, Bournemouth wins 63% of its games and scores an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Without him, it’s just 1.3 goals. His presence could therefore be a decisive factor.
On the other hand, Liverpool have Mohamed Salah, who is on the verge of playing his fifth 20-goal season in the Premier League.
The Egyptian has already scored 19 goals this season and needs just one more to overtake Frank Lampard in the all-time Premier League scoring charts.
With odds of around 1.83, betting on Salah is a solid option, even if I don’t expect too many goals in this clash. However, the striker is known for scoring in important games…
The game is likely to be somewhat chaotic. Both teams play aggressive pressing and quick transitions.
Bournemouth have the third-best PPDA statistic (10.3), which means that they hardly give their opponents time on the ball. Liverpool are just behind them with a value of 10.5.
Both teams are also among the best in the league when it comes to quickly creating chances after losing the ball – Bournemouth even leads here with 45 shots after winning the ball, followed by the LFC with 40.
As a result, I expect many thwarted attempts at building up play and interruptions on both sides, which could significantly slow down the pace of play.
In my opinion, the Reds will score within the first half despite all the resistance, and will successfully save the result afterwards thanks to their experience and composure.
Defensively, the LFC doesn’t concede many chances anyway – especially against this opponent. Therefore, a 0:1, 0:2 or maximum 0:3 for the guests is to be expected.
Fortunately, with the abundance of interesting football bets available on the internet, I have exactly the right offer in mind that perfectly matches my expectations.
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In the first leg, the league leaders won 3-0 against this opponent, but in the xG duel, they only just managed to get ahead, 2.00 to 1.04.
So it’s safe to assume that this time it could even be a lower win-without-loss for Liverpool.
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And it is precisely these types of providers that I have given preferential treatment to for my Bournemouth Liverpool tip.
Conclusion: Bournemouth may be playing an impressive season, but they are now facing an extremely experienced and mature Liverpool team.
The Reds will not make any mistakes and will take every opportunity that arises.
Thanks to their composure, the guests would be able to skilfully hold on to a 1-0 lead…
My Bournemouth Liverpool betting tip: Half-time/final score 2/2.