Bremen – Leverkusen Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 2 on Saturday, 08/30/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
On Matchday 2 of the Bundesliga, Werder Bremen and Bayer Leverkusen will face off in a clash of the disappointed. Both teams suffered defeats in their opening games and are now under pressure in this direct duel.
Accordingly, in my Bremen Leverkusen tip, I expect a rather disjointed game to develop, in which constructive offensive actions will be few and far between. The logical consequence is to bet on “under 3.5 goals” at Oddset at odds of around 1.55.
My Bremen Leverkusen tip: Under 3.5 goals
These are the arguments for my tip:
- The bet would have been successful in 6 of Bremen’s last 7 games.
- Both teams only managed to score one goal each on the first matchday.
- Werder failed to score in 4 of their last 7 games.
Above all, I see a few question marks behind Leverkusen’s potential this season. Bayer has lost numerous key players and still has to find its feet under Erik ten Hag – if it can do so at all.
I consider Werder to be one of the gray mice of the Bundesliga this season anyway. I would be very surprised if Bremen were to put in a convincing performance against Leverkusen.
My first alternative tip is therefore to bet on “Bremen under 1.5 goals.” The odds of around 1.50 at VBET Germany are clearly in my favor.
Bremen – Leverkusen Prediction & Betting
The arguments for my Bremen Leverkusen prediction “Under 3.5 goals” are obvious. For example, Bremen has never scored more than one goal in its last seven games. But Bayer didn’t exactly cover itself in offensive glory in its 1-2 loss to Hoffenheim either.
Those who want to pursue a slightly more aggressive betting strategy could also consider betting on a “draw at halftime.” The Bremen Leverkusen odds of around 2.30 are strong, assuming that both teams will initially be cautious after their opening defeats.
In fact, I would go so far as to consider betting on “0-0 at halftime.” It’s not unrealistic to imagine Bayer having little success with their possession advantage while Bremen digs in front of their own goal without much happening.
What you need to know about betting on Bremen vs. Leverkusen
- Despite Leipzig’s 0-6 defeat at FC Bayern, it was Werder Bremen who conceded the most expected goals (2.7 xG) on the first matchday.
- Bayer Leverkusen only won the Asian handicap line in 11 of 34 games in the last Bundesliga season. Only two teams performed worse in this statistic: Hoffenheim and Bochum.
- Our internal data model predicts a goal expectation (xG) of 2.68 for this game – the second-lowest estimated total for the second matchday of the Bundesliga, with only the game between HSV and St. Pauli below it at 2.56 xG.
- Hoffenheim beat Bayer Leverkusen 2-1, even though they were clear underdogs with odds of 4.10 – the biggest upset of the first matchday.
- Leverkusen’s 5-0 win against Bremen at the BayArena in 2024 was the only one of the last 13 direct duels that the home team was able to win.
- Patrik Schick, who scored a total of 21 Bundesliga goals in the 2024/25 season, is the favorite in the goalscorer betting on the second matchday. On the first matchday, however, the Leverkusen striker failed to score, without a single shot on goal in 21 touches in 90 minutes.
Bremen – Leverkusen: AI tip & odds analysis
At this point, as usual, our AI assistant weighs in and presents its Bremen Leverkusen AI prediction.
I can’t wholeheartedly disagree with the first tip. Here, the old tin head is fielding a simple 1×2 bet. “Leverkusen win” is available at odds of around 2.00.
And considering that Bremen has lost its last six games, this consideration is certainly not without reason.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Bremen win |
Draw |
Leverkusen win |
| 27% |
24% |
49% |
The second AI tip expands on this bet and targets “Leverkusen to win to nil.” The odds of around 4.00 are really excellent and offer sufficient value at betting providers with a German license. Don’t forget: Werder lost four of their last seven games without scoring a goal.
For the third tip, the AI has a soft spot for Werder Bremen and suggests the “double chance 1X.” With odds of around 1.85, the bet is at least worth considering for all Bremen fans. And: Bayer has lost two of its last three games.
The best odds for Bremen vs. Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen is the favorite going into the match against Werder Bremen on the second matchday of the Bundesliga. With odds of 1.90, Leverkusen is the favorite in a league game for the second time in a row.
However, former Man United coach Erik ten Hag’s debut at Bayer Leverkusen was anything but ideal. Hoffenheim defeated Leverkusen 2-1, even though the visitors were considered clear underdogs with odds of 4.10.
This made Hoffenheim’s victory the biggest upset of the first Bundesliga matchday.
Nevertheless, bookmakers remain confident that Leverkusen deserves its status as favorite. Werder Bremen – despite home advantage – is given a +0.5 Asian handicap.
However, Leverkusen won only 11.5 Asian handicap bets under Xabi Alonso in the 2024/25 season – the fifth-worst odds in the league and a negative return of -13.9%.
The Asian goal line for this game is over/under 3.0 goals. Our internal data model predicts an expected goal (xG) value of 2.68 for the game.
This is the second-lowest estimated goal value of the second matchday – only the HSV vs. St. Pauli match is lower at 2.56 xG. The AI calculated a 63.2% probability that fewer than three goals will be scored in this game.
Patrik Schick, who scored a total of 21 Bundesliga goals in the 2024/25 season, is the favorite in the goalscorer betting for the match between Werder Bremen and Leverkusen. However, the Leverkusen striker failed to score on the first matchday, recording not a single shot on goal from 21 touches in 90 minutes.
Bremen vs Leverkusen Match Analysis:
Both teams were beaten on the first matchday, so a win is hugely important. The pressure on Erik ten Hag will quickly mount if his team gets off to a poor start to the season.
The Dutchman knows that only a win will do here. Werder Bremen will likely take their cue from Hoffenheim’s performance against Leverkusen and use it as a template for their own match plan.
The Green-Whites will leave possession in deeper zones to their opponents, but will try to make it as difficult as possible for Ten Hag’s team to play through the midfield near the goal.
In their last meeting, Leverkusen had 73% possession but lost the game 0-2. A similar game is to be expected this time around. Erik ten Hag will be keen to ensure that his team offers more in attack than it did in the league opener.
The passing game needs to be much faster, and the attacking midfielders need to move closer to Patrik Schick to support him better.
However, this carries the risk of being vulnerable to counterattacks when losing the ball in higher zones. The Werkself were also a little unlucky defensively last weekend: both of Hoffenheim’s goals resulted from shots with an expected goals (xG) value of only 0.04.
If Ten Hag manages to remedy his team’s creative weaknesses without conceding high-quality chances, the results should improve.
Bremen Form check
Werder Bremen suffered their second-heaviest defeat of the Bundesliga season last weekend, losing 4-1 to Eintracht Frankfurt.
Two consecutive competitive defeats have ensured that the optimism of last season has evaporated. Horst Steffen must now find a solution to his team’s problems.
The Green-Whites were completely at the mercy of Eintracht’s attacking power last weekend. Steffen’s team had the sixth-worst defensive record in the Bundesliga last season. In the opening game against Frankfurt, however, they were forced to abandon their defensive formation.
Dino Toppmöller’s team took advantage of this by playing quickly behind the defense and finishing the game with an xG value of 2.74.
Bremen will need to be more compact defensively if they want to get a positive result in this game. Marco Grüll will also need to be more effective in attack to help his team push forward.
Leverkusen form check
Erik ten Hag was unable to lead his team to victory in his first game in charge. Bayer Leverkusen took the lead against Hoffenheim after just six minutes, but failed to pose a consistent threat in front of goal. The favorites ultimately lost the game 1-2.
The Werkself had 60% possession, but only managed seven shots on goal and finished the game with an expected goals (xG) value of just 0.71.
Wingbacks Arthur and Grimaldo created few chances—although the latter did provide an assist—and will need to improve for this system to work. Only Heidenheim had fewer touches in the opponent’s penalty area on the first matchday of the Bundesliga.
During his time at Manchester United, Ten Hag’s midfield was frequently outplayed, resulting in the Red Devils conceding an exceptionally high number of shots on goal.
Leverkusen’s reluctance to send many players forward prevented this problem. Nevertheless, the 2023/24 German champions will have to offer more offensively if they want to be successful this season.
