Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 14 on Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 19:30 CET
My Bremen Stuttgart tip seems a bit unconventional in its composition at first glance, but it covers the two most likely betting scenarios and thus ensures a noticeably higher payout level.
And if that’s not enough, you can grab an attractive Bet365 odds boost to strive for even higher values!
In any case, the sports club on the Weser will be difficult to be taken by surprise, because Bremen have lost only one of their six Bundesliga home games so far and are not missing nearly as many players in the squad as VfB.
What speaks for my Bremen Stuttgart tip is actually also the direct comparison. Because the Swabians traditionally have a hard time on the Weser.
VfB have put in remarkably few convincing performances in Bremen over the years – many close games, many points lost, often problems to bring through their own possession game consistently.
Especially in the current phase, in which Werder is more courageous and compact at home, this historical trend seems all the more relevant.
In short: Stuttgart rarely likes to travel to Bremen, and will try to win only its second Bundesliga away game on the Weser since 2007 on Sunday.
Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips
I have one or two personal Bremen Stuttgart tips on the list, which would also be wonderfully suitable to be converted into appealing football bets.
2+ goals Bremen is such a consideration at odds around 2.05 that is currently going through my head and is by no means unfounded. For the first time since 2019, VfB has played five Bundesliga games in a row, each with 2+ goals conceded.
The selection Over 3.5 goals builds a bit on this statistic. If successful, you can expect odds of about 2.30, and I’m confident that the Swabians will also score one or two goals.
What you need to know about Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart betting
- The Bundesliga has an average goal average of 3.22 goals per game. Both Bremen (3.23) and Stuttgart (3.31) are above this average.
- VfB Stuttgart have conceded at least two goals in their last five Bundesliga games, similar to the defensive problems of 2018/19, with Stuttgart conceding a total of 22 goals, 15 of them since November.
- Four of Bremen’s 13 league games have ended in a draw (implying a probability of over 30%). However, the 1×2 odds only see the probability of a draw at around 26%.
- Denis Undav (Stuttgart) is the most favoured goalscorer. He was in good form and recently shot on goal five times against Bayern Munich and four times against Maccabi Tel-Aviv.
Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Bremen VfB Stuttgart AI prediction has come up with several betting suggestions, of which I will only present you those that have convinced me personally.
If you are aiming for higher profits, you should have Jens Stage meets Bremen Stuttgart odds around 2.70 on your own betting slip, because that could be worth it.
After all, no central midfielder has scored more goals this season (8) than the Bremen player.
Interestingly, our data model contradicts me with regard to the possible outcome of this game.
Because while I’m flirting with a home win or a draw, our AI is campaigning for the Double Chance X2 selection at odds around 1.45.
Not least because the sports club from the Weser has only won one of its last 14 Bundesliga home games, which have been played on a Sunday.
But for me personally, this is too tricky and too much statistical reading of tea leaves. The payout is also not monumental and, moreover, VfB is simply missing too many important players with Demirovic and Assignon (red suspension).
The best odds for Werder Bremen vs. VfB Stuttgart
Let’s take a look at the Werder Bremen Stuttgart odds together – a match that the bookmakers clearly but not radically push in the direction of the Swabians.
A home win for Werder is currently priced at 2.90. The bookmakers see Bremen as an outsider, but by no means without a chance.
Home strength, intensity and the ability to make games more chaotic are visibly incorporated here. The quota shows: possible, but not the scenario that the markets are primarily betting on.
The draw is 3.90. This rating reflects that the bookies do not rule out a balanced, tactically tough game. Especially when Stuttgart has a lot of possession and Werder concentrates on transition moments, this result can stay in the game longer than you would think.
For an away win of VfB Stuttgart there is 2.20. The markets are relying on Stuttgart’s pace, structured positional play and greater stability in recent weeks.
At the same time, the quota indicates that VfB is seen in front, but by no means uncatchable.
Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart Match Analysis:
Stuttgart remains within striking distance of the Champions League places, but after three winless league games, the pressure is growing. Bremen are difficult to crack at home, which gives the Swabians a real test.
Nevertheless, Hoeneß is fully committed to offense: VfB is in fourth place in field tilt and is consistently looking for a way forward. That brings pace and chances – but also space for Bremen counterattacks.
Stuttgart concede an average of 1.69 goals, slightly more than they score themselves, which shows how vulnerable they remain in transition moments. This is exactly where Bremen could strike if they make clever use of their deeper basic orientation.
Bremen is taking a much more cautious approach. Their field tilt is 45.3, a whole 12.86 points below that of VfB, which clearly shows: They prefer to wait.
While Stuttgart allows the second fewest passes per defensive action and presses high, Bremen only ranks in the lower midfield at the PPDA. Hoeneß’s offensive approach leads to many fouls by the opponent – an average of 12.46 per game, the third most in the league.
Bremen, on the other hand, fouls less often, which is why it will be exciting to see whether Stuttgart generates enough pressure to get many set-pieces out of them. All in all, everything on the Weser smells like a duel between Stuttgart’s constant pressure and Bremen’s patience.
Werder Bremen form check
Werder Bremen are currently in a bit of a dip in form: The Green and Whites have only picked up five points from their last five Bundesliga games and have been waiting for a win in three league games.
The 3-2 defeat in the northern derby against HSV once again revealed the existing weaknesses, although coach Horst Steffen fielded the same starting eleven for the third time in a row.
In the table, Bremen is level on points with eighth place, but falls back to eleventh place due to the weak goal difference. The view of Europe remains possible, but the gap to the safe seventh place is still five points.
Bremen supporters are at least positive about the home strength: Only one of the last ten Bundesliga home games has been lost, a clear 3-0 defeat against Freiburg in September.
At the same time, however, the latest statistics show that the offense in particular still needs development. With an average of 1.24 expected goals per 90 minutes, Werder is one of the weaker attacking lines in the league.
The low presence in the opponent’s penalty area – only around 20.7 ball touches – also proves the lack of penetration.
Defensively, the team remains vulnerable. With 1.78 expected goals against per game, Bremen is one of the four weakest defensive lines in the Bundesliga and has only three clean sheets.
The overall very young starting eleven explains the fluctuations – consistency is the central issue.
VfB Stuttgart Form Check
Stuttgart travel out of the Europa League with strong confidence after beating Maccabi Tel Aviv 4-1 on Thursday to claim their fifth consecutive international victory.
Things are also going well in the DFB Cup, but the team is currently experiencing a weak phase in the Bundesliga. The 5-0 defeat against Bayern Munich was the clearest under Sebastian Hoeneß and also marked the second league defeat in a row – a first this season.
The main cause remains the unstable defence: Stuttgart have conceded at least two goals in each of the last five Bundesliga games, a parallel to the difficult 2018/19 season.
With a total of 22 goals conceded, they currently have the eighth worst defence, although the xGA data shows that it should actually be 2.57 goals less.
Stuttgart also remains vulnerable away from home. Four defeats from seven away games already correspond to the total yield of last season, plus the fourth-weakest away defence with 14 goals conceded.
Despite the strain from Europe, the Swabians often show good reactions: Four of the last five league games after European Cup appearances have been won.
Our data model also sees Stuttgart as still stable in the race for Europe – with a 61.3% probability of a place in the top 6.
