Brighton – Aston Villa Tip Premier League, Matchday 14 on Wednesday, 03.12.25 at 20:30 CET
If you put my Brighton Aston Villa tip at Merkur Bets to the test, you can expect odds of around 1.72 – and even a little more with a matching odds boost!
Betting on a usable result for the guests sounds daring at first, after all, the Seagulls have not lost any of their last ten Premier League home games.
However, there is exactly the right opponent in town to put this series in danger. Since March, only Arsenal have collected more points away from home than Aston Villa (20).
And in addition, the Villans have lost only one of the last nine direct duels. Argument enough?
Brighton vs. Aston Villa AI Predictions:
The hosts will have to do without several attacking players. Our Brighton Aston Villa AI prediction takes these and other relevant factors into account to recommend a promising Under 2.5 goals bet at odds around 1.95 at bookmakers without tax.
Villans’ games have produced the fewest Premier League goals in the league this season, averaging only 2.08 goals.
And even against deep-lying Seagulls, another tough encounter is likely to develop – characterized by a lot of midfield skirmishes and few real scoring chances.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Brighton |
Draw |
Victory Aston Villa |
| 43.8% |
27.7% |
28.5% |
Ollie Watkins meets is a well-intentioned AI suggestion that would yield odds of about 2.75 if successful. However, this should be viewed with a healthy dose of suspicion.
Although Watkins has scored seven Premier League goals in just nine appearances against Brighton, six of those goals have come at home at Villa Park – and not away.
Both teams to score – No is also not a tip with real value at odds around 2.07. If I had to choose, I’d lean more towards a 1-0 for Villa than a 1-1. Therefore, in case of doubt, I would tend to make a counterbet!
What you need to know about Brighton vs. Aston Villa betting
- Aston Villa have won four of their last six Premier League games on a Wednesday night.
- Aston Villa lost the last four away games in December in the Premier League.
- Brighton are unbeaten in their last ten Premier League home games (W6 D4) and have won the last three in a row.
- Since March, only Arsenal have picked up more away points in the Premier League than Aston Villa (20).
- Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) scored seven goals and provided two assists in nine Premier League games against Brighton.
