Premier League, Saturday, 09.11.2024 at 18:30
What a crass thrashing the “Citizens” had to endure in the top flight during the week. I had to rub my eyes in amazement several times in front of the TV.
Can Hürzeler’s team benefit from this in their Premier League clash on Saturday? According to my Brighton Manchester City tip: no! Because the defending champions will now more than ever want to show their rivals where the hammer hangs!
Who would have thought that Brighton could pose such a challenge in a clash against Manchester City, or as they are also known, the “Citizens”?
The Seagulls have performed well in the Premier League this season, but they face a huge task ahead. Man City will no doubt come into the game with plenty of anger in their bellies after a disastrous defeat in the Premier League against Sporting.
Pep Guardiola will no doubt have given his boys a good talking-to after that defeat, even if the 4-1 defeat is unlikely to jeopardize their progress in the top flight …
The stats are blowing Brighton into a headwind. The Seagulls, for example, have conceded more Premier League goals against the Citizens than any other team, and without keeping a clean sheet once.
City have therefore picked up a whopping 37 points out of a possible 42 in 14 meetings with Brighton. That’s some serious stats, isn’t it
However, the Seagulls’ team spirit and motivation, who have been particularly impressive in attack this season, make them dangerous. What is often missing, however, is rock-solid defensive work.
In the last three matches, they have repeatedly struggled with defensive errors, and against a team like Manchester City, this can quickly backfire.
However, the defending champions are not invulnerable themselves! The Citizens’ poor first half this season in particular has given the home side hope.
At this point, I have a data-based betting recommendation for you, which runs counter to my Brighton Manchester City betting tip to a certain extent, but may well come to pass: A temporary 1-0 win for the home side.
After all, in the last ten Premier League games of the overpowering Citizens, they have conceded the first goal in at least half of these games.
I wouldn’t notice that at any other club, but given the immense quality of this team, it’s a surprising trend!
Despite these potential weaknesses, the Citizens must also be seen for the individual class they bring to the pitch in every game. Phil Foden, who has scored time and time again against Brighton in the past, could once again be the key to victory.
Even though he hasn’t quite hit form yet this season, he has a special bond with the Seagulls that you should keep in mind.
Because in combination with the Oddset bonus, this tendency, which I’ll outline in a moment, could put a penny or two in your pocket.
In seven starts against Brighton, Foden has scored eight goals. Should he get back to his usual strong performance, Brighton could quickly fall behind.
Still, it’s hard to imagine Brighton conceding easily – even if the England international does turn on the heat. The hosts are the kind of team that stay doggedly in the game and fight for every chance.
I therefore strongly expect the outcome of the match to be similar to the two head-to-head duels from the previous season: Victory Manchester City & Over 2.5 goals.
Incidentally, if you’re not sure whether Brighton will actually manage to score the opening goal, you can also simply select “Goal within the first 15 minutes” on the Betano app, which currently promises odds of around 2.38.
This is because the first quarter of all Manchester City Premier League games this season have produced a total of nine goals – the league high for this period of the match.
Also interesting: betting providers with cashout offer you an exciting opportunity to have even more control over your bets.
You can end your bet early before the end of the game and secure a share of the winnings – or minimize a share of the loss.
If you realize that the Premier League game in question isn’t going as planned, you can get at least part of your stake back.
Conclusion: At the end of my Brighton Manchester City prediction, I see the Citizens clearly ahead, especially after their clear defeat in the premier league.
ManCity will be determined to redeem themselves and leave no doubt about their strength in the Premier League.
Although the Seagulls will certainly find moments to make their own mark, they are unlikely to pose a serious threat to the favorites.
Instead, everything points to a dominant performance by the visitors – accompanied by a few goals on both sides, which makes the bet on over 2.5 goals even more attractive.
My bet: Victory Manchester City & over 2.5 goals
