EFL Cup 3rd round, Wednesday, 18.09.2024 at 20:45
A quiet week? Not in the motherland of soccer! Before the Premier League continues at the weekend, the 3rd round of the EFL Cup is on the program, which already provides the first duels at eye level.
The AMEX Stadium is home to two teams that have got off to very different starts. In my Brighton Wolverhampton betting tip, I’ll tell you why I’m ruling out both the visitors progressing and a spectacle
Brighton and Wolverhampton both entered the competition in the 2nd round of the EFL Cup, but the big boys are just getting started. In other words, they have already had a taste of the cup.
The Seagulls are unlikely to be worried, as their start to the season has gone more or less as they expected. The team is unbeaten and has collected eight points
The first wins were 3-0 against Everton and 2-1 against Manchester United, followed by a 1-1 draw with Arsenal and a 0-0 draw with Ipswich. Admittedly, the fans couldn’t quite understand that.
A 1-1 draw against the title contenders is certainly strong, but a goalless draw against a promoted team? 1:0, 1:0, 0:1, 0:0, Brighton’s four first halves were not necessarily to be confused with offensive spectacles
Is the bet that the first half on Wednesday won’t be particularly exciting or high-scoring? Oddset is offering odds of 1.50 on the assumption that we will see a maximum of one goal.
Fittingly, Brighton’s clearest result this season came in the EFL Cup, when they beat Crawley Town 4-0 in the second round. But even here the half-time score was right: 1:0!
Obviously, the Seagulls like to make it exciting before closing the bag, if possible. The EFL Cup is certainly not a competition that the club loves dearly.
Last year, they were knocked out in Round 3, when Chelsea were a little too strong in a 1-0 defeat. Prior to that, Brighton had failed to reach the 4th round three times in a row, reaching the round of 16 only once since 1980 (2014/15)
In February of this year, in a different competition, the Seagulls lost to Wolverhampton for the first time again after four wins and a draw, losing 1-0 in the FA Cup. For the first time since 2015/16, they failed to score twice in a row against Wolves.
The last home games against Wolverhampton could not have been more different: 0-0, 6-0, 0-1, 3-3 – anything can happen here! According to our bookmakers, progression on Wednesday is very likely in principle
The odds are 1.40 to 2.85, and if we’re talking about victory after 90 minutes, we’re at 1.70 to 4.70. Of course, this is also due to the visitors’ start to the season, which has been anything but strong.
Three defeats and a draw, plus eleven goals conceded – this is not how Wolves had imagined it. The 2:6 defeat to Chelsea was particularly painful, as the defeats to Arsenal (0:2) and Newcastle (1:2) were almost quite manageable
A 1:1 draw against Nottingham Forest was added to the list. The only win came in the 2nd round of the EFL Cup, when they won 2-0 against Burnley. Goncalo Guedes scored twice, so a 2-0 win is of course relatively undramatic
Why am I mentioning this so explicitly? Quite simply because four of the last seven EFL Cup eliminations have resulted in a penalty shoot-out defeat! A year ago, Wolverhampton failed to score from the spot in Round 3, losing 3-2 to Ipswich
Some start with really strong results, others with dismal results! Brighton and Wolverhampton face each other on Wednesday and the moods couldn’t be more different.
While the Seagulls have picked up four strong points against Arsenal and Manchester United, I’m already setting the double chance 1X. Defensively, I could only find words of praise for Brighton.
On the other hand, the opposing team’s offense doesn’t work quite as well, and the last two head-to-head duels fittingly only produced one goal. I have therefore opted for the following tip:
If Brighton score a maximum of three goals, they won’t be out after 90 minutes
