Canada – Guatemala Tip, Prediction & Odds 29.06.2025

Gold Cup, Quarter-final, Sunday, 29.06.2025, 22:00

Quarter-final, or in other words: The best teams from the CONCAF region are just a few steps away from the Gold Cup final! The Canadians want to finally break the dominance of the USA and Mexico.

Nothing should go wrong on Sunday evening, as the Reds are the clear favorites. In my Canada vs. Guatemala prediction, I will reveal why I am betting on a Canadian victory and combining this bet with “under 4.5 goals.”

In 2000, Canada won the Gold Cup – an absolutely historic event. Why? Quite simply because it was the only time that the champion came from neither the USA nor Mexico.

The dominance of this duo is frightening in the American region, as the Canadians themselves know only too well. 2025 is supposed to be the year when they finally win a major title again.

The group stage went relatively smoothly and was completed just a few weeks ago. Canada started with an excellent 6-0 win over Honduras, which made the subsequent 1-1 draw with Curacao easier to swallow.

They made a successful return with a 2-0 win over El Salvador. The only goal conceded came in the 94th minute against Curacao. Defensively, I can’t fault the team.

The third-placed team in the CONCACAF Nations League has high ambitions for this year’s Gold Cup, and with good reason. They won the bronze medal against the USA, and the big names are no longer an automatic stumbling block.

Of course, it should not be overlooked that Alphonso Davies, one of the biggest superstars, is out with an injury. Nevertheless, the team is still strong, especially striker Jonathan David, who is a real weapon.

Let’s take a look at whether the Canadians have any experience in the early rounds of the Gold Cup. With the exception of winning the title in 2000, they have never reached the final, which is obviously not the best news.

Three quarter-final exits in their last four appearances – that doesn’t exactly make for positive reading either. The Canadians should therefore be warned not to underestimate their rivals. It would, of course, be all the better if Guatemala were among their favorite opponents.

They haven’t lost since 2004, which isn’t a bad omen. There have been four wins and one draw since that defeat. And goals conceded? None! However, as there has only been one match between the two sides since 2015, I don’t want to read too much into the history.

For tax-free bookmakers, one thing is clear: there can only be one winner this weekend. Canada is the clear favorite, with odds of 1.35 on average for a win in regular time.

On the other hand, you can get 9.25 for a Guatemala win. The world number 106 knows that reaching the semifinals of the Gold Cup would be a huge surprise.

The quarterfinals were already achieved in 2022/23, but the nation has yet to reach the last four. The group stage of the current season was known for close results.

They narrowly beat Jamaica 1-0, followed shortly afterwards by a 0-1 defeat to Panama. In the decisive match against Guadeloupe, a 3-2 win was enough to secure their place in the last eight.

Interestingly, three of the four goals were scored in the first half. It may be a risky bet, but why not take a chance? At Betano, betting on Guatemala to score in the first half on Sunday will get you odds of 3.35!

The last impression in World Cup qualifying was not exactly positive. They suffered a 0-3 defeat against Jamaica, who are also their opponents in the Gold Cup. So one thing we can definitely say is that the Guatemalan team is capable of almost any result.

Canada wants to reach the semifinals – and then the final for only the second time in the history of the Gold Cup. The Reds delivered a commanding performance in the preliminary round, not conceding a single goal.

Guatemala is definitely not one of the big soccer nations, not even ranking in the top 100 in the world. That’s why I think a Canadian victory is the only option, although the odds are not quite enough.

Since the team around superstar Jonathan David knows how to defend wonderfully and the offensive potential of their opponents is relatively limited, my overall prediction is:

Canada wins with a maximum of 4.5 goals!

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