Chelsea – Ajax Amsterdam Tip Champions League, Matchday 3 on Wednesday, 10/22/25 at 9:00 p.m.
Every betting provider with Paysafecard was able to follow closely on the last Champions League match day how Ajax, in the wake of a terrible performance in Marseille, conceded a goal for every letter of their club name (0:4).
The boys from Amsterdam have also hit a rough patch in their domestic league since the start of fall, which is why I’m expecting the worst in my Chelsea Ajax Amsterdam prediction, and not without reason.
And the fans of the Sons of God who will be traveling to support their favorite team should also wrap up warm. The multiple Champions League winners have not won any of their last 11 European Cup games against Premier League clubs (2 draws, 9 defeats).
Chelsea vs. Ajax Amsterdam AI predictions:
The Blues have not lost any of their last 12 Champions League main round games at Stamford Bridge and have often even come out on top (8 wins, 4 draws).
As a result, our AI model is even slightly more confident than I am about a dominant performance from the Londoners next Wednesday.
Its suggestion, Chelsea to win both halves, promises odds of around 2.37 in the Betano app and, in my opinion, a disproportionately good chance of success.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Chelsea win |
Draw |
Ajax Amsterdam win |
| 75.9% |
14.6% |
9.5% |
If you look closely, our AI model also predicts that the Londoners will get the job done before the break.
The selection Highest-scoring half: For me, as a data-oriented sports betting fan, the odds of around 3.00 for the first half are another computer-generated suggestion that I would like to implement exactly as it is.
Especially since, in the first two match days of the 2025/26 Champions League, only Monaco (5) conceded more goals before half-time than Ajax (4) in the entire competition.
Both teams to score – Yes to Chelsea Ajax Amsterdam odds of around 1.73, on the other hand, remain a matter of discretion.
In the past, the Dutch were always good for a goal – even if they ended up losing. But in 2025/26, they are one of only two clubs still waiting for a goal in the league phase, and for good reason. Their offensive play is simply too lax!
What you need to consider when betting on Chelsea vs. Ajax Amsterdam
- Amsterdam has been winless in its last eleven European Cup games against English teams since a 1-0 victory over Tottenham Hotspur in April 2019.
- Ajax has not scored a single goal in its last five games against Premier League clubs.
- Chelsea has lost only two of its last twelve Champions League games at Stamford Bridge – both times to Real Madrid in the quarterfinals.
- The Blues are unbeaten in their last twelve group games at Stamford Bridge (12 wins, 4 draws).
- Chelsea are facing a team with 5+ consecutive defeats in Europe for the seventh time and have won the previous six such encounters with a combined score of 14-0.
