Chelsea – Arsenal Tip EFL Cup, semi-finals, first leg on Wednesday, 14/01/2026 at 21:00
On the island it is blow after blow and also according to my Chelsea Arsenal tip for the semi-final first leg in the EFL Cup there will be a lot to see on Wednesday (21:00 CEST).
In my Blues Gunners prediction, I assume goals on both sides, especially because this bet would have been successful in four of the last five meetings at Stamford Bridge. For this tip, get odds of 1.72 at Merkur Bets.
In addition, you will also find a Merkur Bets Superboost for this match, namely for the Chelsea Liverpool tip on both goals and over 3.5 goals.
Chelsea vs Arsenal AI Predictions:
I expect a balanced game, even if the Blues have had difficulties recently. Although there was a 5-1 win against Charlton in the FA Cup recently, Chelsea have been waiting for a win in the league since mid-December.
Arsenal FC, who not only travel to Stamford Bridge as leaders of the PL, but are also undefeated in nine competitive games (8 wins, 1 draw).
Our AI tool is in line with my Chelsea Arsenal tip and assumes a low risk for the bet “both to score”. The Blues have rarely won recently, but they have still scored regularly.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Chelsea |
Draw |
Victory Arsenal |
| 31% |
28% |
41% |
According to ChatGPT, Gemini and the like, you take a higher risk if you combine the BTS with an away win for the Gunners. The possible reward with a 4.20 betting odds can be seen not only at our betting providers with PayPal.
Arsenal have won their last four away games, while Chelsea have won just one of their last four at home (D2 L1).
What you need to know about Chelsea – Arsenal betting
- Chelsea and Arsenal warmed up for the duel in the FA Cup at the weekend. The Blues defeated Charlton 5-1, the Gunners Portsmouth 4-1.
- Arsenal have not lost their last nine meetings with Chelsea (W6 D3).
- In ten of the last 15 competitive duels, both Chelsea and Arsenal have scored.
- The Blues have the fifth-best attack in the Premier League with 34 goals in 21 games, the Gunners the second-best (40 goals).
- If the xG forecast is anything to go by, between 2.60 and 2.85 goals can be expected in Chelsea vs. Arsenal.
