Premier League, Tuesday, 14.01.2025 at 20:30
Man seemed to be the new second power of England, but apparently the team is not yet a candidate for the Premier League championship betting! The Blues from London are stumbling, so the next home game on Tuesday is unlikely to be a walk in the park.
The visitors are a team that has been high up in the table for weeks. Accordingly, in my Chelsea Bournemouth betting tip, I’ll tell you why I think the underdogs have a lot to play for and why I’m betting on an away win with a handicap of +2.
I admit: I’ve probably praised Chelsea FC a little too much and have therefore done the same as many experts! The Londoners had only lost twice before Boxing Day (against City and Liverpool) and had even won five games in a row by the end of December.
They scored a number of goals and impressed with their bold, attacking soccer. But then came a 0-0 draw against Everton just before Christmas, which nobody could really explain, followed by an even more surprising 1-0 defeat against Fulham.
Results that had obviously affected the players more than expected. They lost 2-0 at newly promoted Ipswich, who had not won at home until then! And once a crisis hits, it’s even harder to get out of it.
The 1-1 draw against Crystal Palace was the fourth game in a row without a three-pointer, the first time this season that Chelsea have failed to win more than two games in a row. And this despite the fact that all of their opponents were far from the top.
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Good, the Blues held their nerve in the FA Cup, a 5-0 win against Morecambe should of course not be overrated. The gap to second place is four points, and with a number of other clubs also slipping up, not much has happened yet.
Three of the four matches they have not won, which could be encouraging, have been away from home, but now the team can play at home again. But is that really an advantage?
With four wins, three draws and two defeats, I wouldn’t necessarily answer “yes” to that question! The 3-0 win against Aston Villa is also the only result without conceding a goal.
The fans know that Stamford Bridge does not automatically become a fortress when their team plays here. It has also only worked once before to end two home games in a row with three points.
How have Bournemouth fared in recent years? Four wins and a draw, at first glance it looks pretty good. But: 1:0, 2:1, 0:0, the last three games were also really close.
2:1, 2:0, 0:1, 1:0, 2:0, 2:1? The results that have been won in the capital in recent years could certainly have been clearer. And yet, our bookmakers have quickly settled on a favorite.
They see Chelsea clearly ahead with average odds of 1.57 to 5.00. And that’s despite the fact that Bournemouth really aren’t in a bad position. They haven’t lost in eight games!
The Cherries are playing in the upper midfield and are only three points behind Chelsea! 12:7 at home, 18:16 away? I have to lead you straight to the fact that I find so interesting:
When Bournemouth play at home, they stonewall, when they play away, they score goals without end. The home average is 1.9, the away average is 3.4!
The Cherries only missed a goal twice, but at the same time only conceded once. After three wins in a row, they “only” drew 2-2 against Fulham recently
It’s been wild at times, as Bournemouth have won away from home after trailing, while also surrendering a lead. Interesting: The bookies are thinking offensively for exactly this reason, so that you can secure a rather low 2.00 for the “Over 3.5 goals” after registering with Bet365.
Some no longer win, others have forgotten how to lose – and yet team number one is clearly favored! Admittedly, I’m not as optimistic as the bookies when it comes to Chelsea FC.
Bournemouth are doing really well, scoring lots of goals away from home and picking up plenty of points here recently. In order not to give you too high a risk, I have opted for a handicap bet.
If you like it riskier, you can place the “double chance X2” at odds of 2.25. However, I would be more cautious and recommend the following bet:
A 2:0 handicap is enough for the visitors to “win”!