Premier League, Saturday, 26.04.2025 at 1:30 p.m.
Will Chelsea qualify for the Champions League this year? Currently, Chelsea is only in sixth place. However, fifth place is enough to secure a spot in next season’s premier competition.
Every point counts in the final phase to achieve this. Now a match against a defensively strong opponent awaits. In my Chelsea Everton tip, I’m going for a home win at Bet-at-home and adding that we won’t see more than four goals early on Saturday afternoon.
Two points are currently missing from fifth place, which is currently occupied by Newcastle. Of the five clubs fighting for the three coveted Champions League spots, two will come away empty-handed. In their remaining fixtures, Chelsea face two direct rivals and Manchester United and Liverpool.
The last few matches couldn’t be much more complicated, and then there are the Conference League semi-finals against Djurgarden, which are of course less of a priority.
Given the tasks ahead, only three points against Everton count in the third-last home game. According to Bet-at-home, this is definitely possible, with Chelsea starting as favorites at 1.58. Everton is at 5.75.
A draw bet would quadruple the stake. I think the odds for the hosts are still really good, even if it’s unlikely to be a clear-cut victory. Everton’s defensive wall will have to be broken down first.
After all, Everton has conceded 40 goals, the fourth-best record in the league. Chelsea has conceded just as many goals, but has scored 24 more and collected 19 more points. The results at Stamford Bridge have been impressive for the most part.
They have only lost two of their last 16 games, winning nine, five of which came in their last six outings. Everton, meanwhile, have won just four games away from Goodison Park, with only the newly promoted teams having a worse record.
In eight games, the Toffees have also picked up just one win, a 1-0 victory at Nottingham Forest. However, they have only conceded more than one goal twice in this run: in last week’s 2-0 defeat to Manchester City and in the 2-2 draw with ManU.
There has only been one game in which more than four goals were scored in 2025, which is why I’m adding the “under 4.5 goals” odds to the home win. Those looking for slightly higher odds could alternatively mix the home win with under 3.5 goals.
What makes me confident that Chelsea will score at least a couple of goals is the improved situation in attack. The Blues have once again struggled with a number of absences this season. Things are improving as the season draws to a close.
And in terms of chances created, Chelsea are second only to Liverpool. The sixth-placed team have created 537 chances, around 200 fewer than Everton, who have fired off the fourth fewest shots.
At the same time, Chelsea has a good defense, conceding just 346 chances alongside a fairly meager 40 goals. Only Arsenal, Manchester City, and the Reds have done better. That’s why I also have my eye on 2.55 for a Chelsea win to nil.
Alternatively, the “Everton under 1.5 goals” bet at Winamax is suitable for a combination bet at odds of 1.20. By the way, you can get up to $100 in free bets as a new customer there.
All odds are tax-free here. In the 1X2 market, 98 percent of users have opted for a Chelsea win.
What do 16 of the last 17 matches have in common? A maximum of four goals were scored, which confirms my choice of odds. The statistics don’t surprise me, as both teams traditionally play very compactly.
Only Chelsea’s 6-0 win last season stands out, one of eight games out of the last ten in which both teams failed to score.
Since I don’t really expect Everton to score anyway, an alternative to “Chelsea to win to nil” is the odds that both teams will not score. We get strong odds of 1.85 for this.
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Conclusion: Chelsea now has a well-stocked squad to choose from in attack and has been more clinical in front of goal in recent competitive games. Only in the meaningless return leg against Legia Warsaw did they manage a 1-2 defeat.
I think a 2-0, 3-0 or 2-1 win is the most likely outcome on Saturday afternoon, but I’m even hedging my bets with my final selection for one more goal at what I consider to be really good odds of 1.83!
So my Chelsea Everton tip is: Chelsea to win & under 4.5 goals!
