Premier League, Thursday, 26.12.2024 at 16:00
Is Chelsea a genuine title contender or rather still a beneficiary of their flawed opponents? The Blues are second in the table, but have not won against Arsenal (1-1), Manchester United (1-1), Liverpool (1-2) or Manchester City (0-2).
Fulham have turned out to be tough favorites on the previous match days, scoring against Liverpool (2-2) and Arsenal (1-1).
For my Chelsea Fulham betting tip, I use the AdmiralBonus bonus and play odds of 2.85 for “Chelsea under 1.5 goals” on Boxing Day.
Interwetten is not the only bookmaker who sees Chelsea as the heavy favorite with odds of just 1.45 to win.
Many other bookmakers also see Fulham as underdogs at Stamford Bridge and are giving odds of 6.50 for a Cottagers win in some cases.
An Oddset freebet for a “Double Chance X2” could well convince me to take advantage of the odds of 2.60 on offer and go for value in the end.
Fulham have already annoyed many top teams this season, taking one point each from Liverpool (2:2) and Arsenal (1:1) and remaining unbeaten in eight of their previous nine league games.
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Well, the big winning streak was not possible in these pairings, but three wins, five draws and just one defeat (1:4 vs. Wolverhampton) are an impressive haul for Marco Silva’s team.
With the 4-2-3-1 system, the Portuguese has managed to give his team a framework that emphasizes the strengths of the individual players.
Away from home, the Cottagers have been extremely compact so far, conceding under 1.5 goals in 78 per cent of their appearances and keeping an average of just 2.38 goals per game.
Marco Silva’s team have even finished exactly a quarter of their Premier League away games so far without conceding a single goal. I don’t find it irritating when the data tells me that Fulham have the fifth-best defense in the English top flight (20.7 xGA).
What should also not be underestimated in my eyes: Chelsea scored only 14 of their 37 goals this season at home (just under 38 percent). This explains why the Blues’ home games have only contained an average of 2.86 goals.
On the other hand, the runners-up in the table were able to impress with their strong defensive work in their own stadium and kept their rivals to a maximum of one goal in 75 percent of their PL home games.
However, both teams scored in 88 percent of league games at Stamford Bridge, so you should check this option as another option for the Chelsea Fulham betting tip.
If you also take into account the results of the last meetings, you will discover a clear tendency for low-scoring encounters between Chelsea and Fulham.
The Blues have scored “Under 1.5 goals” in two of their last three home games against Fulham. Furthermore, none of the nine previous duels contained more than three goals.
Marco Silva should be able to draw helpful footage for good preparation of his players from the Blues’ last league game.
Like Fulham (0-0 vs Southampton), Chelsea ended their last Premier League game with a goalless draw (0-0 vs Everton).
The Toffees did remarkably well to take Cole Palmer (11 goals, 6 assists) out of the game and keep the radius of Chelsea’s best player small.
So far, the second-placed side have finished half of their home games with fewer than two goals of their own and Fulham have exactly what they need to send that rate soaring.
Chelsea face a dangerous opponent at Stamford Bridge who have already upset several top teams in the English top flight.
In particular, the matchup between the Blues attack and the Fulham defense catches my eye and will be followed with great interest.
My Chelsea Fulham tip is therefore: Chelsea will score a maximum of one goal
