Premier League, Sunday, 04.05.2025 at 17:30
Arne Slot has done it and won the English championship with Liverpool in his first season after Jürgen Klopp.
The Reds have already secured the title four games before the end of the season. This gives Arne Slot the opportunity to give some players more playing time than usual.
In my Chelsea Liverpool tip, the home side will benefit most from this. “Chelsea to win” is my recommendation, with odds of 2.10 at Merkur Bets.
If the newly crowned champions have dropped points this season, it has been primarily away from Anfield Road.
Away from home (11), Slot’s team has won three fewer games than at their own stadium (14). The pressure is now off, and so is their role as favorites in the odds comparison. If you still bet on a win for the visitors, you will receive 3.10 times your stake at Winamax.
The Reds have returned from 47 percent of their trips to their opponents’ grounds with a clean sheet – a better rate than at Anfield Road (35 percent).
However, when the Slot-Elf have conceded a goal away from home (53 percent), they have almost always conceded two goals by the end of the match (47 percent). At Winamax, odds of 1.80 for “Chelsea to score over 1.5 goals” are recommended.
Chelsea definitely belongs in the category of teams that are capable of scoring at least two goals against the Reds.
Apart from Liverpool (75.64 xG), no other Premier League club has created more expected goals than the Blues (63.46 xG). Added to this is the hosts’ improving form.
During the week, the London club won their Conference League semi-final against Djurgarden 4-1, virtually securing their place in the final.
It was their third competitive win in a row. The Blues have also collected 17 points from their previous eight Premier League games.
Mohamed Salah is, of course, the outstanding player in the English top flight this season (46 points). However, Chelsea’s squad also boasts a number of other outstanding players who have shown their potential.
In terms of chances created, Mohamed Salah (81) is just ahead of Cole Palmer (80). However, he is followed by Enzo Fernandez – another player from Maresca’s team (73). All of them are surpassed by Bruno Fernandes (84).
Under different circumstances, I might not have predicted a home win for Chelsea against Liverpool. The Blues have failed to win any of their last ten matches against the Reds.
However, Maresca’s charges (5th) need the points in the battle for a Champions League spot, while Liverpool’s squad players are primarily looking to put in a good performance.
Furthermore, the venue is hugely important for the Blues. Chelsea will be playing at Stamford Bridge, where they have won six of their last seven Premier League games.
The hosts have not lost any of their previous eight home games and have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five encounters.
Should Chelsea qualify for next season’s Champions League, Enzo Maresca and Arne Slot could both look back on a successful debut season.
Maresca has the Blues playing controlled football. Only Manchester City (1.41) and Southampton (1.46) cover less ground in possession than the Blues (1.64 m/s).
Chelsea go into this game fully focused and with a clear goal – to secure three points to qualify for the Champions League.
Home advantage is also a decisive factor in my Chelsea Liverpool prediction, as the hosts have not lost at home for months.
Chelsea will win against Liverpool!
