Premier League 30th matchday, Thursday, 03/04/2025 at 9:00 p.m.
Betting providers with PayPal are circling over this game like vultures over their prey.
Because the interest of many sports betting fans in this Premier League game is at least as great as my personal interest in a successful Chelsea Tottenham tip.
And that’s exactly what I’ll try to give you on your way to the digital or air-conditioned betting shop around the corner.
Goals almost seem guaranteed when Chelsea play Tottenham – and not just because of Postecoglou’s incredible streak of 152 matches as a coach with at least one goal.
The Blues’ 4-3 win in the first leg of that game also speaks for itself in this regard. There have been regular multiple-goal finishes in recent meetings between these teams anyway. And both sides have the attacking potential to break down any defense in 2024/25 too.
So why an over 2.5-goal bet in combination with a home win could be particularly worthwhile is something you can find out in my Chelsea Tottenham prediction!
The betting providers’ prediction?
The Chelsea Tottenham odds in the Bet365 app reveal a clear favoritism of the “Blues” in the betting markets.
At 1.63, this and other bookmakers are firmly counting on a home win, while a draw or a Spurs win is priced at 4.60.
And indeed, I am a little surprised that the odds for a draw are almost at the same level as for an away win.
Analysis: Chelsea v Tottenham
Chelsea went into the international break with 3 defeats in their last 6 Premier League games, but successfully defended fourth place thanks to Manchester City and Newcastle getting similar results.
But in the tight race for the Champions League places, Enzo Maresca’s men cannot afford to give away any more points carelessly.
Interestingly, the last eight league games followed a clear pattern: four home wins, four away defeats.
Should this pattern continue, then, following the 0-1 defeat to Arsenal next Thursday, Chelsea should triumph again in the game against one of their favorite opponents.
Meanwhile, the 2024/25 season does not seem to be ending with a happy ending for Tottenham. With 13 points separating them from the top six ahead of the matchday, it is a clear sign that they will have to spend another year in the mid-table.
Their poor derby record also contributes to this: Only ten points from nine London duels is a negative record in the league (3 wins, 1 draw, 5 defeats).
Ange Postecoglou must therefore find the balance between the league and the Europa League, especially as he is in danger of becoming the first Tottenham coach to lose his first four league games against Chelsea.
Odds analysis
Cucurella is an 8.00 tip for the underdogs, but not an unfounded one. After all, Marc Cucurella has scored in each of his last two home games for Chelsea. And all of his five goals this season have been in victories at Stamford Bridge.
If you want to bet on an upset, this could be a worthwhile option.
Win Chelsea at 1.65” sounds like a more solid choice. As already mentioned, Tottenham have struggled in London derbies this season, picking up just 10 points from 9 games – a joint-low in the league. This record clearly speaks in favor of the Blues!
Chelsea vs. Tottenham: Data advantage for the Blues!
Data is always a tricky thing, but some of it is just impossible to ignore. This is one of those instances, as it suggests that Chelsea should be in the driving seat.
Chelsea have only lost one of their last 12 Premier League duels against Spurs (9 wins, 2 draws) and have won the last three encounters with a total score of 10:4.
Tottenham, on the other hand, have lost their last three league games against Chelsea – their last longer losing streak against the “Blues” was between 2000 and 2002 (6 games).
And especially in view of the fact that Spurs just lost 2-0 to Fulham (!), I just can’t imagine them winning at Stamford Bridge on Thursday, even with the best will in the world.
Tottenham: Deceptive candidate for a goal bet!
A certain Spurs star has brutally good chances of scoring in the first moment. Just take a look at this data!
Son Heung-min has nine Premier League assists this season – just one short of reaching double digits for the fourth time in his career (after 2019/20, 2020/21 and 2023/24). This would see him equal Christian Eriksen’s record for the most 10+-assist seasons at Tottenham.
However, Son has never provided an assist in 17 league games against Chelsea. He has not been unsuccessful against any other team as often as against Chelsea. Consequently, I would not want to make the same mistake as many sports fans and still bet on him.
But even if the South Korean scores on Thursday, it certainly doesn’t mean that his team will come out on top in the end – quite the opposite.
Before this matchday, only Leicester (10) and Southampton (12) have suffered more defeats away from home this Premier League season than Tottenham Hotspur (8).
To put this in historical context: the last time Spurs suffered more defeats away from home in a single league season was in 2008/09 (11).
Incidentally, the Winamax bonus offers you a strong combination with bets on Chelsea against Tottenham. You can bet risk-free on this exciting Premier League clash, which promises to be full of excitement.
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My Chelsea – Tottenham tip:
Chelsea is in much better shape. And even Mykhailo Mudryk’s doping ban doesn’t seem to be throwing the Londoners off track.
Tottenham will hold out against it though, and what could follow is an extremely exciting game with as many goals as in the first half of the season.
In the end, I see the “Blues” easily getting the upper hand at Stamford Bridge in particular.
Chelsea to win & over 2.5 goals.
