Copa Libertadores 2024, Wednesday, 18.09.2024 at 02:30 PM
There’s not much time left until the big final! The Copa Libertadores is entering the home straight, and River Plate, one of the big favorites for the title, naturally want nothing to go wrong.
The trip takes the team to Chile on Wednesday night, and the role of favorites is actually relatively modest. Will I come to a similar conclusion in my Colo Colo River Plate betting tip? In any case, I’ll tell you why I’m going for a combination of “Double chance X2” and “Under 3.5 goals”
It’s been five years since the last final, and you don’t want to let that get to you! River Plate are among the big favorites for the South American crown this season, and so far they have confirmed this role from game to game.
The team easily survived the group stage against Tachira, Nacional and Libertad, winning five times (four times to nil) and playing out a 2-2 draw once. Interesting in any case: exactly two goals were scored each time
For this reason, I take a look at Oddset and want to find out what odds you get for the bet. If River Plate celebrate the double goal on Wednesday, the value will be 4.10.
Incidentally, they have won four times with 2:0. I therefore stick with our top provider and also take a look at the result bet and find odds of 10.5 for another 2:0. Was the special feature with the two goals actually also available outside the group stage?
The team won 1:0 against Talleres in the first leg, followed by a 2:1 win at home. So they fell short of the two goals once, but one is enough if they don’t concede any.
It goes without saying that five out of eight results had fewer than 2.5 goals. You can actually rule out this bet, unless you’re happy with odds of just under 1.50.
The Argentinians can usually rely on Miguel Borja. The attacker has netted six times in the last four games in the current competition, and when he was injured in between, he only scored once against Talleres.
Borja has scored a total of 27 goals in competitive matches so far and is his club’s life insurance. Tip: Bet on another goal from the striker at Bet365, because the odds of 3.40 are more than profitable
It’s been a good two years since River Plate last faced Colo Colo. They won 4-0 and 2-1 in the group stage of the Copa Libertadores, so does it sound like the Argentinians are clearly favored on Wednesday?
Favored yes, clearly no! The odds come to an average of 2.50 to 3.15. By the way, before I get to Colo Colo: River Plate have only won two of their last ten matches in the domestic league, apparently their focus is elsewhere.
Colo Colo, at home in Chile, have had a much harder time in the Copa Libertadores. The club had to get in before the group stage, progressing with two narrow wins and two draws.
Fluminense, Alianza Lima and Cerro Porteno awaited in the preliminary round. How many times did they win? Once, actually! Right at the start against Porteno there was the 1:0, which was to remain the only three-pointer
Three draws and two defeats – it’s something of a miracle that they actually made it through to the knockout phase. Just four goals were scored, and only one in the three home games.
In the round of 16, they finally faced Junior FC and suddenly they won! 1:0 and 2:1, now ALL of the results in the competition were so close that there was a maximum difference of one goal.
More than 2.5 goals? Three times this was the case, once at home. So it seems that this team isn’t exactly known for regularly taking part in target shooting either
River Plate are one of the hot contenders for the Copa Libertadores title in my eyes. The Argentinians are completely unbeaten, have almost always won and can usually be relied upon to score twice.
In addition, River Plate have a really strong defense. Colo Colo’s progression to the quarter-finals was not necessarily to be expected, with neither many wins nor many goals.
The bottom line is that I can’t see the home side winning and I don’t think we’ll see a real shooting match here either. All in all, this means that I’m backing the following tip:
River Plate won’t lose by a maximum of three goals!
