NFL 2025/26: Cowboys – Chiefs Prediction, Stats & Odds

According to the NFL schedule, we will be served a real treat in the night from Thursday to Friday – just in time for Thanksgiving! And I’m really looking forward to my Cowboys Chiefs tip.
Not only will I use a magnificent odds boost to drive up the potential payout – I am also convinced of the good chances of success of my bet.
Because yes, the Cowboys have moved closer together after the death of Marshawn Kneeland and have just celebrated back-to-back victories. But Kansas City is also back in business – and there’s a reason why they make it to the Super Bowl year after year.
Cowboys vs. Chiefs Predictions:
Who would have thought that the Cowboys’ defense would be so strong after the departure of Micah Parsons at the beginning of the season? In any case, the Texans showed a top performance against the Eagles.
Nevertheless, I agree with our data model and its Cowboys Chiefs AI forecast: The selection KC over 3.5 TD at odds around 2.46 belongs on your own betting slip.
The Chiefs’ offense is productive enough again and should mercilessly play out its obvious advantages at the wide receiver position against Dallas secondary.
Rashee Rice with TD is named by our AI as a safe player bet pick at odds around 1.85 – but I wouldn’t be 100% sure about that.
Against the Colts, he caught for an impressive 141 yards, but still didn’t end up in the opponent’s end zone. It’s a pity that legal German bookmakers don’t offer yards betting.
Over 48.5 points at odds around 1.57 is finally another AI suggestion that can be completed individually, but also well included as an encore in my Cowboys Chiefs tip from the headline.
The Texans’ defense is not as strong as their offense. If they get involved in an open exchange of blows with KC, the score can quickly skyrocket.
What you need to know about Cowboys vs. Chiefs betting
- The Cowboys have an overall record of 34–22–1 on Thanksgiving.
- The Cowboys are 3–2 against the spread (ATS) at home this season and 6–5 ATS overall.
- In 7 of the Cowboys’ 11 games this season, the over fell (7–4).
- The Chiefs are 1–3 ATS away this season and 5–5–1 ATS overall.
- The Chiefs have only had an over in 3 of 11 games this season (3–8).
- George Pickens has 18 catches for 290 yards and 2 touchdowns in the last two games.



