Craiova – Mainz Tip Conference League, Matchday 4 on Thursday, 27.11.2025 at 18:45 CET
You know, every non-tax betting provider with rank and name has imposed the role of favorite on the Bundesliga club in this encounter. But is this assessment really justified?
In my Craiova Mainz prediction, I am not afraid to combine an odds boost with two different betting scenarios, which I personally consider to be much more promising.
On the one hand, the Romanians have not yet lost a UECL home game this season and now face a team that has lost each of its last three away games.
What I trust FSV to do on Thursday, however, is a largely stable defensive performance, which should tend to push the final score downwards.
Craiova vs. Mainz AI predictions:
While I keep my own prediction rather vague and combine the two most likely scenarios into a promising combination bet without looking for the very big risk, our Craiova Mainz AI forecast is much more precise in this regard.
Sports betting fans among you who are specifically looking for value bets should therefore definitely play Under 2.5 goals at odds around 1.87 on a separate betting slip. Four of Mainz’s last five competitive games have remained below this mark.
And in view of the comfortable position in the Conference League and the tight remaining programme until Christmas, I could well imagine that FSV will concentrate on defending their own box for long stretches on Thursday.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Craiova |
Draw |
Win Mainz |
| 22.3% |
25.4% |
52.3% |
While I deliberately position myself a little more broadly with a double chance 1X bet, our AI recommends making a draw bet at odds of around 3.80.
In fact, our artificial data friend even has two very concrete results ready for you that would fit exactly into this pattern and promise odds between 7:00 and 9:00 as result bets – namely a 0:0 or 1:1.
Personally, I think this potential course of play is absolutely realistic, but I prefer to leave a door open with regard to my own betting project. Because I can just as well imagine a 2-0, 1-0 or 2-1 win for the Romanians in the end.
What you need to consider when betting on Craiova vs. Mainz
- It is the first competitive match between Craiova and Mainz 05. Craiova has won only 2 of 13 games against German opponents; Mainz, on the other hand, drew twice against Romanian teams.
- Craiova won 1-0 against SK Rapid on the last UECL matchday – the first European Cup victory since a 3-0 win against HB Torshavn in September 1993.
- Mainz 05 are one of three teams to have won all three of their Conference League games and have conceded just one goal in their last five European games.
- Craiova is unbeaten in his last nine home games in European competitions (including qualifying).
- Lee Jae-Sung was directly involved in both goals in Mainz’s 2-1 win over Fiorentina on the final matchday – his first scorer points on the European stage.
