Premier League, Tuesday, 25.02.2025 at 20:30
The odds for this match have popped straight into my head. And we’re getting a tasty price for it at Merkur Bets. In my Crystal Palace Aston Villa betting tip, I expect a close affair.
I think AVFC can actually do better, but the team from Birmingham currently has to make some compromises in the squad and their away record is not exactly legendary. Crystal, on the other hand, have scored well recently
Pau Torres, Amadou Onana, Boubacar Kamara and Ross Barkley. Some are missing completely and the others are likely to come off the bench at most, or at least not play a full 90 minutes. Not an ideal situation for Unai Emery in the center.
And things have been rather mixed away from home anyway. Aston Villa are only 15th in the away table, with four wins from twelve games. Every second away game was a zero
I’m therefore not convinced of an away win, even if the odds of 2.82 at Merkur Bets are interesting. For the Crystal Palace win we get 2.55, the draw (3.35) is classified as the most unrealistic outcome.
I can really see the draw being the best outcome in this match. With nine draws between the two teams, every third game has ended in a draw so far.
Alternatively, in addition to a draw bet, you could place your bet on the Oddset odds that one of the teams will win the match with a maximum of one goal difference. If you split it accordingly, you could win almost 1.50 times the odds.
Oddset also has two odds boosts available. In addition to increased odds that over 3.5 goals will be scored and both teams will score, there is a 3.30 for the market that Jean-Philippe Mateta will score and the hosts will win
After all, the former Mainz player has scored in three of the last five games. If you want to back the hosts, this boost is a lucrative way to stretch the odds.
However, I’m distancing myself from an outright bet in this duel and would still feel most comfortable with the “Double Chance X2” at 1.50. Apart from the weakened center, I think Aston Villa can do much better
We must not overlook the fact that Aston Villa have only lost one of their last seven competitive games, at Wolverhampton. Incidentally, that was the only game in this series in which neither team scored.
The defeat at Wolves was followed by a 2-1 win against Tottenham in the FA Cup, two draws against Ipswich (1-1) and Liverpool (2-2) and an important home win against Chelsea (2-1) at the weekend in the battle for the European Cup places.
Ahead of matchday 27, the Villans are two points off the Champions League places. Things are extremely tight and third-placed Nottingham are struggling mightily. Important weeks to make up ground.
And Crystal Palace will not be able to field their full squad, although the injury situation is definitely more comfortable than for the visitors. In addition to captain Joel Ward, Cheick Doucoure and Chadi Riad will have to miss out
Oliver Glasner’s squad have built up a lot of confidence over the winter. In the last 15 Premier League matches, they have only lost three league games. The Eagles have been particularly successful on the road.
At home, on the other hand, they have just two wins from 13 games. They are 16th in the home table and 15th in the away standings. And Crystal score far more reliably away from home and concede only half as many goals.
And in the first leg? Anyone with a 1X2 bet didn’t have a relaxed afternoon. In the end, the teams drew 2-2 and it’s not unusual for both teams to score in this clash. If we look at the last nine meetings, this has been the case seven times.
Aston Villa were the better team in the first leg, but also conceded a lot. The Head2Head is even after 38 games. Aston Villa are just ahead with 15 to 13 victories.
Conclusion: Crystal Palace had more scoring chances over the entire match and conceded slightly less than Aston Villa. The Eagles are generally in good form, rarely going home empty-handed in the league during the winter – sixth place in the second-half table.
No team has conceded less in the second half of the season. At home, however, they have conceded around twice as many goals.
I think the visitors, who are aiming for the top, can score at least one goal, but they have only managed to keep a clean sheet in one of their last 17 games. That cries out for a goal from both teams! At Merkur Bets you can also make convenient deposits via PayPal.
My Crystal Palace Aston Villa betting tip is therefore: Both teams to score
