Crystal Palace – Fiorentina Tip Conference League, quarter-final first leg on Thursday, 09.04.2026 at 21:00 CET
Actually, a Premier League club should have won one victory after another in this competition – something we have not seen from the “Eagles” in 2025/26 so far. Could the two-time UECL finalist now be their undoing?
In my Crystal Palace Fiorentina tip for the first leg, I bet on both teams to score. This bet promises a nice odds of currently 1.80 to even 1.85 in some places at trustworthy bookmakers like the one above.
After all, Palace has the highest xG value (expected goals) in the entire Conference League, which underlines the enormous potential in attack. However, the Italians do not have to hide in this context.
Fiorentina have scored in five of their six away matches in the competition, scoring a strong 12 goals in the process. The Viola’s form curve is also clearly pointing upwards, which also speaks for a goal-rich evening at Selhurst Park.
Crystal Palace vs. Fiorentina AI Predictions:
I’ve reviewed the Crystal Palace Fiorentina AI prediction for this Conference League cracker at Selhurst Park for you and join our digital expert: The Eagles’ home win is an extremely solid basis for your bet slip!
With an unblemished record of three wins and three draws at home, the Londoners have turned their stadium into a fortress in this competition and will put the Italians under a lot of pressure. The odds of about 1.66 are also okay!
If you are more insistent on a goal spectacle, you should take a closer look at the Asian Handicap for Over 3.0 Goals. The bookmaker’s bet365 promo code and the odds of around 2.67 are a strong argument – and hey: If the game ends with three goals, at least the stake is returned!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Crystal Palace |
Draw |
Win Fiorentina |
| 58.4% |
22.7% |
18.9% |
After all, the Frenchman is almost unstoppable at Selhurst Park at the moment: He has scored his last six competitive goals in this stadium, with him even scoring the goal to make it 1-0 in each of the last three home games.
With this appealing bookmaker odds and high goal frequency, an early goal by the beefy attacker is an absolutely well-founded assumption and much more than pure wishful thinking!
What you need to know about Crystal Palace vs. Fiorentina betting
- Fort Selhurst Park: Crystal Palace go into the quarter-finals with an unblemished home record; the Eagles are still unbeaten in the Conference League in front of their own crowd and have won half of their home games.
- Offensive power of both sides: A high-scoring duel is looming; both Palace and Fiorentina are among the six most dangerous teams in the competition, with a value of over 1.75 expected goals (xG) per 90 minutes.
- Efficiency concerns at Glasner: Despite the flood of chances, the Londoners lack precision; Oliver Glasner’s team is considered the “most wasteful” in the league and has already missed 36 of 46 statistical big chances this season.
- Sarr as a constant source of unrest: Fiorentina’s defence will have to pay particular attention to Ismaila Sarr; the Senegalese is one of only five players in the entire competition to have had over 30 shots on goal.
