Crystal Palace – Tottenham Tip Premier League, Matchday 18 on Sunday, 28.12.25 at 17:30 CET
In London, not the whole city is exclusively interested in the 2026 World Darts Championship at the Ally Pally. Many are also eagerly awaiting the upcoming football derby on the green turf of Selhurst Park.
I took a closer look at the odds of the bookmakers without tax and quickly came to the conclusion that a Crystal Palace Tottenham bet on the host at odds around 2.30 is by far the best choice.
The Spurs have not won a single competitive game away from home since October – and that is only the tip of the iceberg.
The red suspensions of Romero and Simons are aggravating, as are several absences by AFCON, which are noticeably costing Tottenham substance.
Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham AI Predictions:
Our data model blatantly advises making a bet of the type Crystal Palace to win with HC -1 at odds of around 4.65. Of course, this assumes that the host has the upper hand with results such as 2:0 or 3:1.
And you know what? I clearly have to give my blessing to this Crystal Palace Tottenham AI forecast in terms of reward-risk ratio.
At Spurs, almost half a dozen important players are out for very different reasons, and their most recent performance against Nottingham was simply terrible (0:3).
Under these very unfavorable conditions for Tottenham, a clear home victory for the “Eagles” seems anything but absurd.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Crystal Palace |
Draw |
Win Tottenham |
| 41.9% |
29.5% |
28.6% |
By the way, our forecast model also supports the Palace/Palace bet at odds around 3.75 – the data situation clearly speaks for it.
The Spurs could throw in the towel early again. Because away and against teams from the top half of the table, they have only won one of their last 19 London derbies.
The selection Jean-Philippe Mateta scores at odds around 2.72 automatically gains in importance.
The reliable Eagles striker has already scored 23 goals in his last 31 top-flight appearances at Selhurst Park, including in the last meeting with Spurs at this venue (1-0).
What you need to know about Crystal Palace vs. Tottenham betting
- Crystal Palace lost the last two Premier League games (0-3 against Man City and 1-4 against Leeds United). Another defeat would equal the longest losing streak under coach Oliver Glasner (three games).
- Tottenham have won just one of their last 19 away derbies in London against teams ahead of them in the table (D6 L12). The only victory came in February of this year against Brentford (2-0).
- Jean-Philippe Mateta has scored 23 goals in his last 31 Premier League appearances at Selhurst Park. He also scored the only goal in Crystal Palace’s 1-0 win in this exact pairing in October 2024.
- Pedro Porro leads all Tottenham players in passes that break the opponent’s line (133) and passes that break through the defensive chain (13). Only Mohammed Kudus (22) created more scoring chances than Porro (20) this season.
- If Adam Wharton is called up to the starting eleven, he would make the most Premier League appearances for Crystal Palace at the age of 21 or younger with 47 appearances. He currently shares the record with Michael Olise (46 each).
