Differdange – Drita Tip Champions League Qualifying, 1st Round on Tuesday, 15.07.2025 at 20:00
There isn’t really any top-flight football to be seen in the first qualifying round of the Champions League, but the excitement is still high at this stage. This is also the case with the Differdingen Drita tip, in which I look at the clash between the Luxembourg champions and the title holders from Kosovo.
After losing 0-1 in the first leg, Differdange has its back against the wall in Tuesday’s home game and naturally needs at least one goal to reach extra time.
The Differdange Drita odds suggest a very close game, but see the hosts as slight favorites. I expect few goals in my prediction.
Differdange vs. Drita AI predictions:
Our in-house AI has also analyzed the Differdange Drita prediction and calculated the probability of winning for 1×2 bets. With an implied probability of 42 to 35 percent, the Luxembourg team is narrowly ahead. A draw is expected to occur with a probability of approximately 30%.
For the Differdingen Drita prediction, I also see a slight advantage for the hosts, mainly due to their home advantage.
According to our AI, goals are likely to be scored by both sides. Based on our calculations, both teams are capable of scoring a goal. In our model, the hosts achieve an XG value of around 1.0, while Drita scores slightly higher at around 1.10.
The total xG value is therefore 2.1, which makes a bet on “under 2.5 goals” for Differdingen Drita look promising to me. Bwin is offering odds of 1.66 for this.
What you need to bear in mind when betting on Differdingen vs. Drita
- Differdingen has won either the cup or the league title in each of the last three seasons, even winning the double in 2025.
- FCD has never progressed beyond the first round of Champions League qualifying and has yet to score a goal in three games.
- Drita has always been eliminated in the first round of the Champions League qualifiers, but has had two successful campaigns in the preliminary qualifying round against clubs from Andorra and Gibraltar.
- The club from Kosovo reached the play-offs in last season’s Conference League qualifiers, but were clearly defeated by Legia Warsaw (0-2 and 0-1).
- Arb Manaj scored the decisive goal in Drita’s 1-0 win in the first leg (74′).
Predicted chance of winning:
