Dortmund – Athletic Bilbao Tip Champions League, Matchday 2 on Wednesday, 01.10.2025 at 9:00 p.m.
If your heart beats in black and yellow, you can claim the Bwin new customer bonus. This bonus should appeal to BVB fans not only because of its color combination, but above all because of its added value in terms of betting.
However, when submitting my Dortmund Athletic Bilbao prediction, I opted for a different betting provider with a German license – simply because the odds on offer were a tad better!
Meanwhile, BVB is experiencing a renaissance under Kovac and could actually still challenge FC Bayern in the battle for the German championship.
Looking ahead to Wednesday, I expect the Black and Yellows to be highly focused this time around, especially after their disappointing 4-4 draw with Juve, in which they were leading 4-2 until shortly before the end. If they can maintain their intensity, they should not give the Basques a real chance.
Champions League, home game, Spanish opponents – a combination that has rarely disappointed BVB fans so far!
Borussia Dortmund have lost only three of their 16 home games against Spanish teams in the UEFA Champions League (7 wins, 6 draws).
Incidentally, only Real Madrid have managed to beat the Black and Yellows by more than one goal – in a historic 3-1 win in the 2017/18 season, in which Los Blancos ultimately went on to win the title.
Dortmund – Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting
Borussia Dortmund coach Niko Kovac has never lost a game in the Champions League group stage (10 games – 7 wins, 3 draws). In these ten games, an average of 4.5 goals per game were scored (32 scored, 13 conceded).
So it’s clear that my personal recommendations for promising Dortmund Athletic Bilbao bets revolve around scenarios based on this – especially since BVB are playing extremely dangerous attacking football in 2025/26!
A BVB win with HC -1 at odds of around 3.35 and a BVB win & over 2.5 goals at slightly lower odds of 2.80 are the two betting offers that I believe offer the most value.
What you need to consider when betting on Dortmund vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Since their defeat against Barcelona, Dortmund have lost only 1 of 19 games (14W), scoring an average of 2.47 goals per game.
- Athletic Bilbao are winless in 6 games and have not won in their last 4 European away games.
- Both teams to score – No has been successful in 5 of Dortmund’s 7 games and 5 of Bilbao’s 8 games this season.
- Serhou Guirassy did not score in Dortmund’s 4-4 draw with Juve, but averaged 0.8 goals per 90 minutes last year.
Dortmund – Athletic Bilbao: AI tip & odds analysis
Since the start of last season, only Raphinha (21) has been directly involved in more goals in the UEFA Champions League than Borussia Dortmund’s Serhou Guirassy (18 – 13 goals, five assists).
His last appearance in this competition at Signal Iduna Park ended in a 3-1 win over Barcelona in May, where he even scored a hat trick.
Consequently, you can imagine why our Dortmund Athletic Bilbao AI prediction has put the BVB striker at the center of its betting recommendations.
1. Goal: Guirassy is recommended by our AI model for the daring sports betting fans among you, while the selection Guirassy scores is more suited to the risk-averse. If successful, you can expect profit multipliers of 4.0x and 1.9x respectively.
As for the outcome of the game, our AI model justifies the selection of Double Chance X2 at odds of around 1.90 on the basis that the Basques have remained unbeaten in their last six European Cup games against German teams (4 wins, 2 draws).
The best odds for Dortmund vs. Athletic Bilbao
Dortmund welcomes Athletic Bilbao – a game that will be technical, fast-paced, and really exciting for betting fans.
NEO.bet and Bet365 are offering the best odds: 1.85 for a BVB home win, 3.65 for a draw, and 4.10 if the Basques pull off an away win.
Dortmund relies on creativity and offensive pressure, Bilbao on fighting strength and clever counterattacks.
It is precisely this mixture of favorite and underdog potential that makes the match exciting for anyone who values value tips.
A tip here requires courage, strategy, and an eye for opportunities – perfect for anyone who loves the thrill of betting.
Dortmund vs Athletic Bilbao Match Analysis:
On Wednesday, I expect Dortmund to press high, get in between early, and try to dominate the game.
Karim Adeyemi impressively demonstrated how intense the BVB offense is in the opening game against Juventus: 92 high-intensity pressures!
That was the second-highest figure for any player in the 18 games of the first Champions League round, with only Mohamed Elyounoussi of Copenhagen being even more active with 96.
Despite BVB’s offensive power, however, it should come as no surprise if the match ends in a spectacular 4-2 or even 5-3. That’s because Dortmund regularly concede too many goals at the back in the Champions League: they conceded four goals against Juventus in their opening match.
This was the third time Dortmund had conceded four or more goals in the Champions League since the start of last season – no other team has been so vulnerable defensively in the last two seasons of Europe’s premier competition.
Dortmund form check
Borussia Dortmund will face Athletic Bilbao with a lot of confidence after a strong run in the Bundesliga.
Four league wins in a row and four clean sheets underline the stability of the defense, while Karim Adeyemi has inspired the offense like no other with three goals and two assists.
Emre Can and Niklas Sule will continue to be sidelined, however, and Borussia will miss them particularly in defense on Wednesday.
Nevertheless, their outstanding offensive power should be enough to secure a comfortable victory this time around as well.
Athletic Bilbao form check
Athletic Bilbao will try to shake off their recent 0-1 La Liga defeat to Villarreal, but they have had a bumpy start to September.
Ernesto Valverde’s team, back in the Champions League after ten years, have not won a single game in this unlucky month and are also struggling with an increasing number of injury-related absences.
Welcoming Nico Williams and Alex Berenguer back into the starting lineup for Wednesday would be crucial to ending the ongoing losing streak.
However, it does not look as if either of these key players will be able to recover from their respective injuries in time.
