Dortmund – Werder Bremen Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 17 on Tuesday, 13/01/2026 at 20:30 CET
You can’t really catch Bayern this season – unfortunately, that should be clear to every BVB fan by now, because the Munich team are simply unbeatable. And just as “unbeatable” in a completely different context for bettors is the Betano odds boost, which is also available this English week!
In my Dortmund Bremen prediction for the 17th match between the two teams in the current season according to the Bundesliga schedule, I still see the Black & Yellows having the upper hand – and thus at least continuing to lead the race for the runners-up spot.
Attractive odds around 1.95 for the hand-picked handicap bet that I am presenting to you here also provide me with enough arguments to visit a first-class betting provider with PayPal today.
BVB may not have delivered a defensive masterpiece against Eintracht, but the upcoming opponent is cut from a completely different cloth – and moreover has not played a competitive match since Christmas.
Dortmund against Bremen is of course a Bundesliga classic par excellence!
My BVB Werder Bremen tip gets a boost from the assessments of knowledgeable football analysts, because Dortmund has not lost 12 of the last 13 Bundesliga duels against the sports club from the Weser (7 wins, 5 draws).
However, it is also true that the Black & Yellows have only been able to defeat this opponent in their home stadium in two of their last six competitive games – with two draws and two defeats.
Dortmund – Werder Bremen Prediction & Betting Tips
Before we dedicate ourselves to the suggestions that our AI has worked out for you, I would like to share one or the other personal Dortmund Werder Bremen tip with you at this point, which is currently buzzing through my head.
When BVB wins, it’s usually a clean sheet – and that’s exactly the scenario I think is realistic against this opponent, who is weaker than Eintracht. Especially since Borussia have celebrated eight of their nine Bundesliga wins this season with a clean sheet.
The selection of victory Dortmund to zero at odds around 2.47 is therefore an effective means for me to increase the payout without burdening you with a significantly higher risk.
I also have a good feeling at half-time/final score 1/1 at odds around 1.93. Especially since Kovac’s team usually sets the tone at home against teams from the second half of the table from the start.
What you need to consider when betting on Dortmund vs. Bremen
- Borussia Dortmund have kept a clean sheet in eight of their nine league wins this season.
- In four of the last five BL home wins, BVB led 1-0 at half-time.
- Five of Werder Bremen’s six Bundesliga defeats this season have come with a deficit of at least two goals.
- In nine of Werder Bremen’s last ten Bundesliga games, fewer than 1.5 goals have been scored in the first half.
- After his opening goal against Frankfurt, Maximilian Beier has scored in five Bundesliga games this season and remained unbeaten (3 wins, 2 draws).
Dortmund – Werder Bremen: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our Dortmund Werder Bremen AI prediction has spoken and presented me with several betting approaches that coincide with my own assessments and thus automatically meet with a lot of love!
I particularly like the 1:0 result bet at half-time at odds of around 3.50.
Of course, this tip is not without risk, but BVB have actually gone into the dressing room with exactly this score in four of their last five Bundesliga games won at home.
Especially in combination with Dortmund’s well-known initial dominance in their own stadium, this scenario against a sedate Werder seems anything but plucked out of thin air.
The two other betting suggestions devised by the AI are also based on data that can be excellently combined with my gut feeling as a Bundesliga expert with regard to Tuesday evening.
Dortmund: Over 2.5 goals is definitely worth considering – on the one hand because of the attractive odds of around 2.07, and on the other hand because of the fact that Bremen have lost five of their last six Bundesliga defeats by at least two goals each.
Highest-scoring half of the game: 2nd half at odds around 1.90 also promises a positive expected value. Because only after the break do all the dams break for the “green and whites”.
Fittingly: Nine of the last ten games of the Werder team went down in the annals with a first half under 1.5 goals – only then did these games often take off!
The best odds for Dortmund vs. Werder Bremen
A look at the best Bundesliga odds for this matchday and in particular the Dortmund Werder Bremen betting odds reveals a market that is quite clearly positioned and assigns the hosts a clear role as favourites.
The bookmakers leave little doubt about their assessment. A home win for Borussia is rated 1.34.
This odds reflect the confidence of the bookmakers in BVB’s offensive power, pace and individual quality – especially in their own stadium.
Dortmund should set the tone and control the game, anything else would be a surprise from a market point of view.
The draw is 5.70. The bookies see a draw only as a marginal option, for example in the event that Bremen defends extremely compactly and Dortmund fails to convert chances efficiently for a long time. Possible, but clearly not the preferred scenario.
An away win for the Werder team is finally quoted at 7.75. The betting markets clearly classify the Green-Whites as outsiders. To survive here, Bremen would have to act almost flawlessly and consistently use every opportunity that presents itself.
The Dortmund Werder Bremen odds thus paint a clear picture: BVB is seen as the dominant force, Bremen as a challenger with little but existing hope of a surprise.
Dortmund vs Werder Bremen Match Analysis:
Dortmund is usually clearly in control in their own stadium and will try to seize control of midfield early on.
With Bellingham’s return, the ball is likely to run more through the Borussia ranks, which is likely to force Werder Bremen to drop deep early.
Switching moments will therefore be rare. It is hardly to be expected that SVW will be able to develop much penetration even after winning the ball.
In order to quickly appear in front of BVB’s goal after winning the ball, the Green and Whites simply lack offensive presence and self-confidence, especially away from home. The 0-0 draw in the friendly against St. Pauli during the short winter break further underlines this problem.
Everything indicates that Dortmund will control the game from the start, build up phases of pressure and constrict Bremen permanently in their own half. An xG value of over 3.00 for the Black & Yellows would be anything but surprising in this game.
Dortmund Form Check
Bayern Munich remains the only team to have beaten BVB this Bundesliga season, but the late 3-3 draw against Frankfurt on Friday evening at least showed that the defensive performance against top teams is in need of improvement.
On the other hand, Dortmund currently feels very comfortable at Signal Iduna Park. Two sovereign 2-0 home wins in a row in the league underline the home strength, and BVB are still unbeaten at home this Bundesliga season (W5 D2).
This consistency is an important factor in the fight for the top 4, even if there is a small statistical flaw: Tuesday games have not suited Dortmund at all recently, with only one win from the last eight league games on this weekday …
In terms of personnel, there is at least a slight relaxation. Jobe Bellingham returns after serving his suspension and expands the options in midfield. Defensively, however, the situation remains tense, as Aaron Anselmino is expected to continue to be missing.
Dortmund currently have to be very focused, especially in defence, which the Westphalians have managed to do well at home so far.
Overall, the form curve clearly speaks for BVB, who should not allow quite as much defensively on Tuesday evening as they did recently against Eintracht.
Werder Bremen form check
Bremen comes into this duel with significantly more question marks. The Green and Whites are winless in five Bundesliga games (2 draws, 3 defeats) and are thus slipping down the table bit by bit.
The extended winter break due to the cancellation of last weekend’s match could bring fresh strength, but it also interrupts the rhythm of a team that urgently needs a sense of achievement again.
The record against top teams is particularly problematic: Bremen has not yet won a single league game against teams from the current top eight this season (1 draw, 5 defeats).
Away from home, things are also anything but smooth. Bremen have been without a win in six Bundesliga away games (3 draws, 3 defeats), losing all three away defeats against top teams by at least two goals.
Tuesday doesn’t seem to be a good matchday for Werder either, as Bremen have been waiting for a win for seven league games on this weekday.
In terms of personnel, there is at least hope in goal: regular goalkeeper Mio Backhaus is fighting for his ability to play after a slight eye injury from training. If he were missing, it would be an additional factor of uncertainty.
Overall, the current form clearly speaks against a victory for the Werder team in NRW, especially away from home, there is simply a lack of stability and the penetration necessary for a surprise.
