Dortmund – Union Berlin Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 2 on Sunday, 08/31/2025 at 5:30 p.m.
BVB fans will not forget the last match day anytime soon, that much is certain! But now it’s time for the black and yellow fan base to look ahead to the future with my Dortmund Union Berlin tip – and with optimism!
Because in addition to a great odds boost – which pushes up your potential payout – there are other reasons to go to a German betting provider with my suggested Asian handicap bet.
Our in-house AI model expects at least two goals from Borussia. In addition, the Black and Yellows achieved an astronomical xG value of 4.77 in their last home game against Köpenick.
My Dortmund Union Berlin tip: Asian HC, BVB -1.0
These are the arguments for my tip:
- The last match against Union ended 6-0 to BVB!
- BVB has plenty of offensive potential!
- It would be the first time since the 2007/08 season that BVB would not win any of its first two Bundesliga games!
Regardless of the unforgivable 3-3 draw against St. Pauli, there is no denying that BVB is on the rise under Niko Kovac.
Borussia Dortmund is unbeaten in nine Bundesliga games across two seasons (7 wins, 2 draws).
What’s more, since the 27th round of 2024/25, no other Bundesliga team has collected more points than BVB (23, level with Bayern).
Dortmund – Union Berlin Prediction & Bets
I have identified one or two Dortmund Union Berlin tips that are ideal for testing on the Bet-at-home app. After all, this bookmaker offers first-class betting odds for this match.
Borussia Dortmund’s Julian Brandt has been directly involved in at least one goal in each of his last five Bundesliga appearances. Consequently, you can probably guess why Brandt has made it onto my shortlist at odds of around 3.20.
A Dortmund win at 1.40 also makes it onto my betting slip. Especially since it would be the first time since the 2007/08 season that Borussia would start a new Bundesliga season with two winless games.
What you need to know about Dortmund vs. Union bets
- Dortmund played 3-3 against St. Pauli at the start of the season – their first opening game without a win in ten years.
- Union Berlin remained unbeaten nine times away from home in 2024/25, but scored only 17 goals – the worst record alongside Freiburg, Augsburg, and Bochum.
- Dortmund won the Asian handicap in nine of 17 home games in 2024/25 – betting on a handicap home win would have yielded a profit of over 7%.
- In their 6-0 win over Union Berlin, Dortmund achieved 4.77 expected goals – the best figure of the season, around 1.5 xG more than any other game.
- Serhou Guirassy has been directly involved in eight goals in his last six Bundesliga games since scoring against St. Pauli.
Dortmund – Union Berlin: AI tip & odds analysis
ChatGPT can work out soccer bets that, in “its” opinion, have a good chance of success. In any case, I really like the Dortmund/Dortmund suggestion at odds of around 2.05 – for two reasons.
Firstly, after the experience of the St. Pauli game, Kovac’s team will be wide awake until the final whistle, and secondly, BVB has won every one of its six Bundesliga home games against Köpenick without exception.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Dortmund win | Draw |
Union Berlin win |
| 68% |
18.4% |
13.6% |
Dortmund over 2.5 goals also appeals to me. The odds are generous at an average of 2.20, given that BVB has scored at least four goals in three of its last four home games against Union.
Both teams to score at an average of 1.75 is the only one of the three suggestions that is not necessarily suitable for a profitable Dortmund Union Berlin tip. In terms of expected value, I am completely indifferent to this suggestion.
The best odds for Dortmund vs. Union Berlin
Dortmund vs. Union Berlin – a match that looks clear on paper, but that is precisely why it is interesting for me and my betting friends.
The best Dortmund Union Berlin odds can be found at NEO.bet and Bet365, where you can also make clever use of the Bet365 offer code.
A home win for the Black and Yellows brings 1.43, a draw is rewarded with a whopping 5.00, and those who believe in a surprise win for the Iron Ones will collect a strong 7.25.
Such generous Dortmund Union Berlin odds invite creative betting slips: risk meets value, underdog meets favorite.
A perfect scenario to get the most out of a cleverly placed bet – excitement guaranteed from the first to the last minute!
Dortmund vs Union Berlin match analysis:
Dortmund’s offensive power under Niko Kovac is impressive: 2.53 goals per league game is the second-highest figure behind Bayern. Their attacking prowess was also clearly evident against St. Pauli, although they remained vulnerable to quick counterattacks.
This is exactly where Union Berlin comes in – the Köpenickers conceded the third-most passes per defensive action in the previous season with a PPDA value of 15.24. They sit deep, deliberately allow possession and wait for moments when the favorites push too many players forward.
With Iyas Ansah, the Ironers currently have a player in top form who scored twice at the weekend and wants to exploit the spaces behind the Dortmund defense.
Added to this is the well-known danger from set pieces: 15 goals from set pieces last season was one of the best records in the Bundesliga. Especially against a team that dominates in open play, these situations are a decisive trump card.
Despite these dangers, there is a lot to be said for BVB. Under Kovac, the average possession in home games is 62 percent, with almost ten more shots per game than their opponents.
With this dominance and enormous individual quality, Dortmund should create enough chances to put Union Berlin under constant pressure – another offensive spectacle seems likely.
Dortmund form check
Borussia Dortmund got their Bundesliga season off to a spectacular start with a 3-3 draw against FC St. Pauli – a result that has provided plenty of talking points.
For a long time, it looked as if the Black and Yellows were in control of the game: Serhou Guirassy gave Kovač’s team an early lead with a header, before Waldemar Anton and Julian Brandt added to the tally in the second half.
But an unfortunate scene changed everything: Filippo Mané was sent off with a red card, and shortly afterwards BVB conceded a penalty. St. Pauli took advantage of the opportunity, and Eric Smith made it 3-3 in the 86th minute.
Coach Niko Kovac, who led his team to the Champions League last year, now wants to fix these weaknesses as quickly as possible.
Reinforcements have already been brought in: Fabio Silva from Wolverhampton and Carney Chukwuemeka from Chelsea are expected to add even more variety to the offense.
There are also rumors circulating about Maximilian Beier, who is being courted by Brentford and Aston Villa. Nevertheless, BVB can build on a positive feeling – both with regard to the new faces and their traditionally strong record against Union Berlin.
Union Berlin form check
Union Berlin has made a real statement at the start of the new Bundesliga season. In the 2-1 home win against VfB Stuttgart, summer signing Ilyas Ansah immediately became the man of the match.
The striker, who came from Paderborn, made history right away: he became the first Union player ever to score twice in his starting debut.
First, he scored with an unstoppable right-footed shot, before adding another with a volley shortly before half-time after good work from Andrej Ilic. The stadium at the Alte Försterei was rocking, and the Köpenickers were on course early on.
After the break, Stuttgart increased the pressure and pulled one back with a fine finish from Tiago Tomás, but Union showed exactly the qualities that have distinguished the club in recent years.
With Frederik Rønnow providing a reliable presence in goal and a solid defense, Nenad Bjelica’s team passionately defended their lead. In the end, it was a deserved opening victory that further fueled the euphoria surrounding the new striker and the entire team.
Union has made a strong statement right from the start – and has raised expectations for the upcoming games.
