Bundesliga Matchday 32, Saturday, 03.05.2025 at 18:30
VfL Wolfsburg is languishing in no man’s land in the table – there’s not much movement either up or down. The situation is completely different for Borussia Dortmund: With three matchdays to go, everything is still up for grabs for BVB.
Between the Champions League and total elimination from European competition, any position is still possible for the Westphalians.
One thing is clear: a win against the Wolves is a must if Borussia want to reach the Champions League.
It will be a real test of character for the Black and Yellows, but according to my Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg prediction, they will pass with flying colors.
Wolfsburg is one of those opponents that Dortmund likes to play against – at least if you take a look at the statistics.
Since the 2015 cup final, which the Wolves won 3-1, VfL have won only twice in 20 competitive matches against BVB (two draws, 16 defeats).
What’s particularly bitter is that things are looking bleak for the Lower Saxony side in Dortmund itself.
They haven’t won a Bundesliga game there since 2012, picking up just two points from eleven games, including six consecutive away defeats. That doesn’t bode well!
The bookmakers’ prediction?
The Dortmund Wolfsburg odds speak for themselves: a home win for BVB is rewarded with just 1.33 – the bookmakers see the Black and Yellows clearly ahead!
A draw brings 6.00, which already falls into the “risky but potentially rewarding” category. Those brave enough to bet on an away win for the Wolves will be rewarded with really fat odds of 7.50.
Anyone looking at the Dortmund Wolfsburg odds at a verified bookmaker with PayPal as a payment option will quickly realize that everything points to BVB – but football is known to love its outsiders.
AI prediction Dortmund vs Wolfsburg: ChatGPT’s prediction
ChatGPT’s AI prediction for Dortmund vs Wolfsburg fits pretty well with my own assessment of this match.
For a risky betting maneuver, “Half-time/Full-time: Draw/Dortmund” is suggested – and that is actually an exciting scenario. Even though the bookmakers are predicting a clear BVB victory, I think Wolfsburg is capable of keeping up for a long time.
A draw at half-time with a home win later on is absolutely conceivable – and definitely worth a look at these odds.
For the medium-risk betting tip “Over 3.5 goals in the game,” ChatGPT gets two thumbs up from me!
I’m also expecting an open exchange of blows, with plenty of attacking play from both sides – and Dortmund in particular often puts on a show in home games. It could easily end up 3-2 or 4-1 – there’s music in the air!
I also fully agree with the AI’s low-risk prediction of “both teams to score.” Even though the odds of around 1.55 aren’t outstanding, the probability of this happening is enormous. Both teams are capable of scoring – for me, this is a must-pick in this match.
Analysis: Dortmund vs Wolfsburg
After Dortmund bowed out of the Champions League with dignity, the Westphalians now seem to be permanently on the road to victory.
However, the narrow 3-2 wins against Gladbach and Hoffenheim have made it clear why the defense under new coach Kovac remains a major work in progress.
The long-term injury to Nico Schlotterbeck in particular has noticeably weakened the defense. Even the “Wolves” should therefore have several good chances to score against Borussia on Saturday!
But there’s nothing at stake for Wolfsburg! Given their current form, which is clearly on the decline, the “Wolves” can be glad that they picked up enough points in the first half of the season to avoid suddenly having to fight for their survival.
The Lower Saxony side have lost five of their last six league games, which is an alarming development.
Odds analysis
Over 3.5 goals – as already suggested by ChatGPT – is not an unreasonable Dortmund Wolfsburg tip, not at all! Especially not at attractive odds of around 1.95. After all, each of BVB’s last seven competitive games has broken this mark.
BVB scoring a goal in both halves also promises the necessary scope for a value bet at odds of around 1.55 on the Betano app.
Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg: A goal conceded, but a strong second half?
Dortmund seem to concede a goal almost every game this season, and a strong second half is almost guaranteed. Borussia have only kept five clean sheets in this Bundesliga season – their worst record since 1990/91.
With 49 goals conceded after 31 games, the defense looks rather vulnerable. On the other hand, BVB is a team that really comes alive after the break.
Dortmund has scored the second-most goals in the league in the second half (34), with only Bayern Munich scoring more in this period.
On the other side is Wolfsburg, which has the third-best away offense after Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich (28 goals). The Wolves are dangerous on offense and could put BVB under pressure in the second half.
This clearly indicates that both Dortmund and Wolfsburg will score goals in the second half. An exciting duel that offers plenty of opportunities for goal bets!
Wolfsburg without Arnold on a Saturday evening? Oh dear!
It doesn’t look good for VfL Wolfsburg when they travel to Dortmund on Saturday evening. The Wolves have lost all of their last four Bundesliga top matches on Saturday evenings.
This means they currently have the longest losing streak among the current Bundesliga clubs in such top matches.
Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, have lost only one of their seven top matches this season (0-2 in Leipzig on matchday 26) and have a solid record of three wins and three draws.
In addition, Wolfsburg will have to do without Maximilian Arnold, who is suspended for the match in Dortmund due to a red card.
It is the first time Arnold has been sent off since January 2021, and it was already his fourth red card in the Bundesliga – only Maxence Lacroix has more red cards in a Wolfsburg shirt (6).
The absence of such an important player will certainly weaken the Wolves, which plays into Dortmund’s hands.
My Dortmund Wolfsburg prediction:
Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg should be an exciting duel that could end with another 3-2 win for BVB. VfL will keep up well, especially in the first half, and a 1-1 draw at halftime seems quite realistic.
But after the break, Dortmund will probably increase the tempo and pull away bit by bit to ultimately emerge victorious. There is simply too much at stake for the Black and Yellows!
My prediction: Dortmund win & both teams score
