Dortmund – Wolfsburg Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 4 on Sunday, 09/21/2025 at 7:30 p.m.
What a memorable game BVB played against the Old Lady during the week!
Back in the Bundesliga, my Dortmund Wolfsburg prediction is that Kovac’s team will be victorious – but not without mistakes!
The Wolves have conjured up seven goals from an xG value of 4.6 so far – in other words, if they get even half a chance, they often strike with clinical precision!
DAZN Streaming covers all Bundesliga weekend games, but there’s none I’d rather watch than this one – because it promises to be exciting.
By the way: for VfL fans, BVB is almost a nightmare on repeat. Since their 3-1 triumph in the 2015 DFB Cup final, Wolfsburg have only managed two wins against Dortmund in 21 competitive games (2 draws, 17 defeats).
Dortmund – Wolfsburg Prediction & Bets
Borussia Dortmund has scored at least twice in each of its last 11 Bundesliga games, prompting me to make two personal Dortmund Wolfsburg predictions that rely on BVB’s concentrated offensive power.
Dortmund over 1.5 goals is the first betting idea I want to implement – even if the odds of 1.42 lead to a modest payout.
On the other hand, I find Dortmund to score in both halves much more interesting, as this scenario is very realistic and the profit multiplier is an impressive 2.0x.
What you need to consider when betting on Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg
- Dortmund has scored 13 goals in four competitive games, while Wolfsburg has 2.28 xG per game – the second-best figure in the Bundesliga.
- The Wolves have only kept a clean sheet once in their last 16 league games – in a 1-0 win in Gladbach on May 17.
- Dortmund (71%) and Wolfsburg (59%) are among the top teams in the over 2.5 market this season.
- Guirassy has already scored 21 times in the league in 2025 – only Mbappé has surpassed that mark in Europe’s top five leagues.
Dortmund – Wolfsburg: AI tip & odds analysis
Our Dortmund Wolfsburg AI prediction has come up with a few suggestions, which I would now like to evaluate for you here.
In short: our AI model has put two names at the top of its list when it comes to goals – those of Guirassy & Brandt.
As a BVB Wolfsburg tip, I can understand the decision to pick Brandt as a possible goalscorer, as he has been involved in more goals against VfL than against any other club in the Bundesliga (14).
With Serhou Guirassy, the suspicion of goals is even greater – and his average odds of 1.65 for a goal are not bad either.
The Guinean has scored in eight consecutive Bundesliga games (including a brace against Wolfsburg).
And that brings us to his favorite opponent, because Guirassy has scored more often against the Lower Saxony club than against any other in the top flight (8 times, as against Union).
The best odds for Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg
Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg – a highlight on the pitch, a real spectacle in terms of odds at the bookmakers.
NEO.bet, Interwetten, and Oddset have the most exciting figures: 1.53 for a BVB win, 4.90 for a draw, and 5.50 if the Wolves manage to pull off an away win.
The Dortmund Wolfsburg odds just mentioned paint a clear picture: Dortmund is the favorite, but Wolfsburg is not exactly a hopeless underdog with value.
That’s exactly what makes it so exciting for betting fans – play it safe with the favorite or take a bold risk? This match offers both possibilities, making the betting slip really interesting.
Dortmund vs. Wolfsburg match analysis:
Dortmund goes into the game with mixed feelings after a 4-4 draw against Juventus in the Champions League. After a solid first half, BVB let a two-goal lead slip in the final minutes – so there is still room for improvement defensively.
On the positive side, however, Maximilian Beier and Serhou Guirassy are in strong form and pose a threat up front, and are currently almost unstoppable.
Wolfsburg, meanwhile, are also traveling as perceived underdogs after squandering several leads in a 3-3 draw with Cologne on the club’s 80th anniversary.
Before the final blow, however, Jakub Kaminski’s late goal underlined the morale of Paul Simonis’ team, which remains unbeaten. Offensively, VfL has enough quality to be dangerous in Dortmund.
All in all, there is every reason to expect an entertaining duel with chances at both ends. Dortmund are looking for their third league win in a row, but Wolfsburg have the resilience to keep the game exciting. Goals are almost inevitable here.
Dortmund form check
Borussia Dortmund has put together an impressive run in the Bundesliga and is now unbeaten in eleven games (9 wins, 2 draws) – its longest winning streak since spring to fall 2023, when BVB went 17 games without defeat.
Since matchday 27 of last season, no team has earned more points than the Black and Yellows (29, level with FC Bayern).
These figures underline that Dortmund are not only consistently picking up points at the moment, but also appear to be in a very strong mental state.
Kovac’s team has developed a winning mentality that makes the difference in close games. With this form, BVB are clearly one of the hottest title contenders at the moment.
Wolfsburg form check
VfL Wolfsburg has also made a solid start and is unbeaten in its first three Bundesliga games for the first time in four years.
Across two seasons, the Wolves are now unbeaten in five games (two wins, three draws) – a run that is currently surpassed by only two teams in the Bundesliga.
But a real test awaits against Dortmund, and I don’t think the boys from Lower Saxony will pass it…
