Coupe de France, semi-final, Tuesday, 01.04.2025 at 21:10
Watch out, PSG! Dunkerque is not an opponent to be underestimated and that’s no joke on April 1st! After all, the French second division side, who are fighting for promotion, have already knocked Brest and Lille out of the cup.
Now the northern French side will play again at the LOSC stadium, but this time the USL will be the official hosts. Their own arena, with a capacity of around 5,000, is not big enough for the semi-final.
In my Dunkerque PSG betting tip, I’m expecting a clear win for the visitors and at NEO.bet I’m predicting that PSG will score in both halves.
It would be a fairytale if the second division team were to prevail against PSG and actually make it to the final of the Coupe de France. But the odds already indicate that it will probably remain a dream. PSG is clearly favored at 1.07.
A 7.60 is waiting for Union Sportive de Dunkerque to progress. Perhaps someone will dare to bet on the sensation with their 10 euro free bet from NEO.bet, which you can collect there from the initial deposit.
In the 1X2 market, a 1.15 is still waiting for a PSG victory in regular time, Dunkerque even has a 15.0 here, and a 7.00 is advertised for the draw. I had expected an even bigger difference.
So I don’t think the 1.15 for a combined ticket on Tuesday is bad at all. After all, Paris have only lost one game this year and that wasn’t even significant in the end and that was against Liverpool, which in the end wasn’t even a significant defeat as they reached the CL quarter-finals.
With seven games to go, the capital are also practically champions in Ligue 1. They have a 21-point lead and a goal difference +33 goals better than second-placed Monaco. 22 wins from 27 matches, none of which they have lost.
And in the Champions League, Kylian Mbappe’s former team, which is doing just fine without the superstar, turned on the heat in the second half of the league phase, defeating Man City, then crushing Brest in the knockout phase and holding their own against league winners Liverpool.
There is no question that Luis Enrique’s team is now one of the title favorites. In addition to the dangerous attack of Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratshkelia, Bradley Barcola and co, PSG have made progress at the back in particular.
Only one goal conceded in 210 minutes against Liverpool says a lot and, apart from Kang-in Lee, the Spanish head coach can draw on a full complement of players in the cup. His namesake Luis Castro faces a mammoth task
As the 6-1 win over St. Etienne showed, the international break has not knocked PSG off their stride. Before that, we saw a 3-1 win against Marseille and 4-1 wins against Rennes and Lille.
The 1-0 win against Toulouse in mid-February was the last match against a French team in which PSG scored fewer than three goals. In the cup quarter-finals, we saw a resounding 7-0 win against Stade Briochin.
I think it’s very likely that PSG will score in both halves. Even if Enrique rests various players for the time being, which I don’t necessarily assume.
Since only one point or a slip-up by Monaco will be enough to win the league title, one or two stars could be missing from the line-up on Saturday ahead of the Champions League quarter-final first leg against Aston Villa.
The clash is a first for Dunkerque and PSG. These two teams have never met before in history. Dunkerque are playing in the second tier for the second year in a row and are currently in fifth place.
That would currently be enough to at least be in the promotion play-offs. However, after three consecutive defeats, the Union has recently fallen off the pace. A 1:5 loss to Rodez was followed by a 2:3 loss to Metz and a 0:2 loss to Bastia.
Makes ten goals conceded in three games and now faces a match against the country’s strongest offense in a stadium where PSG has played significantly more often than the official hosts themselves.
But they will be throwing everything into their second cup semi-final since 1929. And Dunkerque have scored in seven of their last eight matches. For the PSG victory with a goal from both teams, we get an attractive odds boost at Oddset.
Conclusion: PSG is in impressive form and does not necessarily have to rest its best players for the Champions League quarter-final first leg a week later. Instead, with a 21-point lead in the league, the Parisians can take a more relaxed approach in terms of personnel on Saturday.
I expect Enrique to field most of his key stars to avoid becoming the third Ligue 1 team to fail against the Union after Lille and Brest.
For a month and a half, PSG have scored at least three goals against teams from their own country. After the 6:1 against St. Etienne, I expect the next PSG gala against a currently weakening Dunkerque with a few goals conceded!
PSG score in both halves
