NFL 2024/25: Eagles – Commanders
It’s going to be a close game and I’ll keep a close eye on the current Eagles Commanders odds from the bookmakers in my favorite sports betting app until kickoff.
It’s going to be a real football thriller, you can bet on that. But that’s why I’m leaning more towards a profitable win bet on the guests from Washington in my Eagles Commanders tip.
The Philadelphia Eagles come with a lot of momentum from their win against the Dallas Cowboys, which makes them the favorite in the betting markets for the opening game of Week 11.
In the short week, the betting providers with a German license are expecting the Eagles to take a narrow lead, trading at -3.5 at home.
Conversely, the Washington Commanders are slight underdogs, even though I personally expect a perfectly even 50-50 game.
Philadelphia has been considered a dominant team in recent weeks, but one could still remain skeptical when looking at the quality of their opponents.
The Eagles have mostly faced teams that have performed rather poorly overall in recent weeks.
Teams like the Cowboys, Jaguars, Bengals, and Giants have a combined record of 13 wins and 35 losses, which certainly allowed Philadelphia an easier game.
However, that’s not to say the Eagles defense is weak—quite the opposite!
They have worked their way up in important statistics and are now ranked 6th in the NFL in terms of expected points added (EPA) per play, while also allowing opponents a very low success rate per snap.
A big advantage for the Eagles is their reinvigorated running game, which could be especially important in this game. Philadelphia is currently among the top 5 rushing teams in the NFL and averages the sixth-most yards per rushing attempt.
This could play a crucial role, as the Commanders are known for their defense being vulnerable to running attacks.
For their part, the Commanders give up the eighth-highest success rate per opposing rushing attempt in the league, which gives the Eagles the opportunity to control the clock with a solid running game and keep the ball in their own ranks for longer.
The Commanders are a real force offensively and often play at a fast pace that poses problems for many opposing defenses.
But the Eagles defense has continued to develop under Vic Fangio and, especially in recent weeks, has shown discipline and skill in pass defense.
With various coverage variations and clever maneuvers, they will make life difficult for WAS quarterback Jayden Daniels.
It’s interesting to note that Philadelphia can now apply pressure well without necessarily blitzing, which gives them the freedom to monitor Daniels and control the passing routes.
If the Eagles manage to dominate possession and slow the Commanders down, they could lay the groundwork for a home win.
A glance at the Eagles-Commanders odds, meanwhile, paves the way to some promising options.
Washington, for example, has contributed to a final score of over 45 points in seven of its last eight games – an indication that this game could also be a high-scoring one.
Therefore, my suggestion: bet on “Over 45 points” with a betting provider that accepts Apple Pay and, with a little luck, you can get a solid odds of around 1.55.
Another exciting possibility lies in the performance of A. J. Brown, who is currently in top form. The Commanders have repeatedly shown difficulties in controlling opposing wide receivers this season.
This could be a decisive advantage for Brown, who has a good chance of scoring a touchdown in this game. The odds for “A. J. Brown Touchdown” are 2.37, which is definitely worth a try.
Conclusion: According to my Eagles Commanders prediction, the away team is a promising “value tip”. Both teams have explosive offensive power, which makes for an exciting game with a lot of points.
However, the Eagles have mostly won against weaker teams in recent weeks, which could cloud the impression of their current performance level. Such successes are important, but they come from games with less strong opponents.
In view of this, I prefer to bet on the higher odds for the Commanders to win against the odds.
The probability of an upset is real here, especially since Washington often performs better than expected on the road. Those who are not afraid of risk should consider the away win.
My Eagles Commanders tip in detail: Win WHAT & Over 44.5 points.
