Elche – Real Madrid Tip La Liga, Matchday 13 on Sunday, 23/11/25 at 21:00 CET
While the LaLiga season so far has largely gone according to plan for Real Madrid, the return from the last international break of the year is also quite promising. After all, the Whites have always cut a good figure against Elche recently.
While none of the last seven guest appearances in Elche were lost, things were particularly clear in the previous season. Both at home and abroad, the white ballet remained unbeaten – and won the games with a total of 7-0.
This season, however, the home side seem to be much more difficult to crack; at the expense of six draws, only three defeats have been recorded after 12 matchdays.
Moose vs. Real Madrid AI Predictions:
In my well-thought-out, but of course not entirely low-risk bet, I did the math without artificial intelligence, which – certainly understandable in view of the data – sees the royals ahead without batting an eyelid.
The probability of an away win of almost 70 percent even makes the Elche Real Madrid AI prediction go a bit full. The handicap +2 recommended here for Real rather foreshadows a rather clear course of play.
However, such a handicap is also needed to give a favourite tip the desired spice. While there are not even quite odds of 1.40 for the simple “tip X”, a victory with at least a two-goal lead is then rewarded with almost doubling the stake.
The fact that I still can’t get anything out of this tip should certainly not come as a big surprise when looking at the bet I have chosen …
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Elche |
Draw |
Victory Real Madrid |
| 13.7% |
19.1% |
67.2% |
On the other hand, I get closer to the indeed obvious recommendation that there are a maximum of two goals to see in Elche. Although the AI has determined an xG value close to the 3 mark, it still considers a low-scoring result to be likely in view of this not entirely clear result.
Given Elche’s remarkable defensive strength, I’m happy to make that conclusion my own. The odds of around 2.60 for Under 2.5 goals are also worth taking a little risk with well-founded assumptions behind them.
Traditionally, AI also treads on thin ice with its result prediction – even for our super-intelligent support, filtrating an exact end result is still a kind of game of chance.
What you need to know about Elche vs. Real Madrid betting
- In the last seven direct duels played at home, Elche remained without a win, picking up only one point.
- With an average of 1.08 goals per game and 1.17 goals conceded, Elche’s games are usually uneventful.
- Real lead the table after 12 matchdays with 10 wins, one draw and one defeat. An average of 2.17 goals scored and only 0.83 conceded results in a goal difference of +16.
- Real are also a force to be reckoned with away from home, winning 60% of their last 15 away games in all competitions and keeping a clean sheet in 45% of their last 20 away games.
