Serie A, Sunday, 2/23/2025 at 6:00 PM
Did you see the rage-distorted expression on Rafael Toloi’s face during the Champions League tie against Club Brugge? He can count himself lucky that he didn’t catch de Cuyper fully. Otherwise, it would not only have been red, but also a months-long suspension.
According to my Empoli Atalanta Bergamo tip, things will look up again for the downhearted Bergamasks on Sunday. Because the host is currently in free fall towards Serie B.
The upcoming game between Empoli and Atalanta could be another tough test for the hosts. Empoli is currently in the middle of the relegation battle and has only taken two points out of the last ten league games (2 draws, 8 defeats).
That’s brutal, of course! After three defeats in a row, they are now only one point above the relegation place, which shows how precarious the situation has become for the “Azzurri”.
Particularly alarming is the fact that they have not even scored a goal in the last two games.
To make matters worse, with just eight points from their first 11 home games this season, Empoli are also one of the weakest home teams in the entire Serie A.
Not only have the “Azzurri” lost four of their last five home games at the Carlo Castellani, but they have also never been able to score more than one goal in a home game this season.
The lack of a real goal scorer and the cumbersome offense make it difficult to imagine that they will create many chances against Atalanta on Sunday.
However, I don’t want to suggest that everything is currently hunky-dory with my favorite club. Missing out on the Champions League last 16 is still gnawing away at the soul of every Bergamo fan.
In Serie A, “La Dea” are no longer doing quite so well, with only two wins from their last eight games (5 draws, 1 defeat), but they have the quality to quickly recover from the disappointment suffered on the European stage.
One advantage could also be that they can now fully concentrate on the league without the additional strain of exhausting European Cup games. (I know, small consolation).
Atalanta’s away form is certainly impressive, considering that they have won seven of their last ten away games in the Serie A.
Especially when they are guests at Empoli, where they have won the last five direct duels, I see a good chance of successfully continuing this series.
Atalanta have kept two clean sheets in a row and seem to be more stable defensively again – even if they were out-counterattacked several times by Bruges a few days ago. But don’t worry, Empoli can’t handle the ball as skillfully as the Belgians.
Another factor in the visitors’ favor is their strong record in direct duels.
Atalanta have won five of their last six away games against Empoli, showing that they have almost always had the upper hand when they have been guests in Tuscany in recent years. Individually, players like Charles De Ketelaere are a particular weapon for Atalanta. He has proven this season that he can make a difference in the decisive moments.
The Belgian even scored twice for Bergamo in their 3-1 first-leg win over the upcoming opponents, once again demonstrating his 100% winning record in Serie A games in which he has scored.
At Empoli, on the other hand, it is mainly Sebastiano Esposito who scores goals. But against a solid defense like Atalanta’s, he could have difficulties, which makes the guests’ success even more likely.
There are a number of offers from betting providers with PayPal for this game, which, based on their respective Empoli Atalanta Bergamo odds, have the potential to be used to place sought-after value bets.
“Over 2.5 goals”, for example, would be one such bet, as the Bergamasque team’s last four Serie A away games have always seen at least three goals.
Empoli have also conceded at least one goal in their last 15 league matches.
If ATA scores the first goal of the game, you can look forward to a profit factor of a respectable 1.52x via the Bet365 app.
Conclusion: It should be crystal clear that Bergamo has a good chance of winning here.
Because Empoli does not have the clinical counterattacking skills of Club Brugge, who caused La Dea fans so much pain a few days ago.
Although EFC can always spring a surprise, I don’t see any signs of one on the horizon in their current form.
My Empoli Atalanta Bergamo betting tip: Half-time/final score 2/2.
