NFL 2025/26: Falcons – Bills Prediction, Stats & Odds

Since the start of 2018, only three quarterbacks have a winning percentage of at least 70% after a loss on the previous game day: Lamar Jackson (.800), Patrick Mahomes (.800), and Josh Allen (.750).
Jackson and Mahomes have already suffered two consecutive defeats in this still young season – is Allen next?
According to my Falcons Bills tip and in the opinion of almost all betting providers, the answer to this question is “no”!
It won’t be a walk in the park, but a victory for the Electric Company at Mercedes-Benz Stadium is and remains, in my opinion, the most likely outcome of this matchup.
Falcons vs. Bills predictions:
Just as the Bills bounce back after a defeat, the opposite trend is emerging in Atlanta! Our Falcons Bills AI prediction determined this in no time at all.
The Falcons have lost their last ten games as underdogs when they won a home game on the previous match day.
The selection of a Bills victory at odds of around 1.50 is therefore the logical conclusion of our AI model, which I personally can only agree with.
Touchdown: James Cook, meanwhile, promises odds of up to 1.61 even in the user-friendly Interwetten app, but the data attests to this bet having an almost 100% probability of success.
That’s because James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in nine of the Bills’ last ten games as favorites on the East Coast.
Finally, however, the AI also recommends a risky bet on the home team’s most productive player: Bijan Robinson scoring the first touchdown of the game at fantastic odds of around 5.00.
After all, Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last five home games – and it was often the first of the game.
What you need to know when betting on Falcons vs. Bills
- Bijan Robinson has scored two touchdowns in each of the Falcons’ last three games following a home win.
- Bijan Robinson has scored at least once in each of the Falcons’ last five home games.
- James Cook has scored two touchdowns in three of the Bills’ last four away games.
- Josh Allen has rushed for over 41 yards in nine of the Bills’ last ten away games against NFC opponents.
- The Falcons have lost their last ten games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Bills have won nine of their last ten games following a divisional matchup.



