Major League Soccer season 2024, Sunday, 14.07.2024
The ball keeps rolling in the MLS even during the European Championship, where the Spain-England betting tip is in focus. This has not been a problem for LA Galaxy in recent weeks. Greg Vanney’s team recently won five out of six league games.
For my FC Dallas LA Galaxy betting tip, I therefore take the odds of 2.37 at Betway and bet on another “LA Galaxy win.”
Los Angeles has two top clubs in the MLS, which are among the top three teams in the Western Conference.
LA Galaxy are currently third in the table and have already won 12 games. In addition to seven shared points, the visitors have only lost four games in total
The starting position of FC Dallas is far less pleasing. With 23 points from 22 league games, they are languishing in the bottom third of the Western Conference.
Nevertheless, Peter Luccin’s side can be expected to win at home in the Toyota Stadium, at least if you look at the odds in the best sports betting apps.
Both teams receive odds of over 2.30 from the bookmakers, although LA Galaxy have celebrated twice as many victories (12) as Dallas (6).
The courage of bookmakers Sunmaker and Co. can be explained quite quickly. Dallas have won all six of their matches at home.
However, the home side’s form is anything but worrying for my FC Dallas LA Galaxy betting tip. Luccin’s side have lost three of their previous four matches
The hosts’ top scorer is Petar Musa. The 11-goal man is life insurance and goalscorer rolled into one. Apart from him, no other player in the home side’s squad has scored more than four goals.
FC Dallas’ attacking play is also rated rather weak in other categories. According to expected goals (excluding penalties), the home side rank 28th (1.02 xG per 90), regardless of the conference.
If you compare them to the third-placed team in the Western Conference, the differences become clear. LA Galaxy shines with 1.71 xG per 90 minutes (via Soccerment, excluding penalties) as the third strongest offense in the entire MLS.
In contrast to the home side, Greg Vanney can spread the burden of attacking play across several shoulders. Alongside top scorer Dejan Loveljic (12 goals), Gabriel Pec is an important pillar of the Hollywood team with 16 scoring points (9 goals, 7 assists).
The most impressive thing about the visitors is their immense counter-attacking threat. No team in the MLS scored more expected goals per 90 minutes after transition moments than the Galaxy (0.33 xG via Soccerment).
In addition, Greg Vanney’s side won the only comparison in the 2024 calendar year 3:1 against Dallas.
If we look at Los Angeles’ form curve, we find further clear indicators that point to an away win.
The strongest counter-attacking team in the MLS has built up a formidable form with five wins from six league games recently.
They have even won three of their last five league games without conceding a goal and LA Galaxy have also found their stride on the road
First, Vanney’s charges celebrated a 1-0 win away from home against Salt Lake, then they went one better with a 3-0 away win against San Jose.
Another trend can be seen in the goal difference between the two teams. Dallas (32:37) have a negative goal difference, while LA have outstanding figures for goals scored (44) and goals conceded (30).
Dallas (37.0 xGA) and LA Galaxy (38.2 xGA) don’t have much in common in terms of goals conceded, but the visitors’ expected goals (42.5 xG) are only surpassed by their city rivals (43.0 xG) in the league.
The bookmakers’ concerns about the Luccin squad’s better home performances help our FC Dallas LA Galaxy betting tip.
Without a doubt, LA have the better team on the pitch and have only allowed themselves four defeats this season. Should Dallas lose this match, the home side would already have 12 defeats on the season.
My tip: Victory LA Galaxy
