Serie A Brazil 30th matchday, Thursday, 10/17/2024 at 2:45 AM
There are a number of exciting matches after the international break in Europe that are worth betting on.
But before the Bundesliga continues at the weekend, my attention is focused on the FC Sao Paulo Vasco tip.
I am of the opinion that the exhausted hosts will once again have a tough time against this team, which they have already lost to in the first half of the season.
In the Brazilian league, the performance fluctuation is really enormous. You have probably also noticed that traditional clubs like Santos, the “Pele Club”, are now languishing in the second division, while even big teams like Corinthians and Fluminense are currently fighting hard to avoid relegation.
This situation makes the league more exciting than ever, and that brings us to Sao Paulo.
The Tricolor have benefited from the current weakness of many top teams, but they could soon lose contact with the coveted top-four places. Only one win in their last five competitive games is not a form that inspires confidence, is it?
The Sao Paulo team have had a very difficult time in recent weeks. The strain of competing in several competitions has taken a significant toll.
From the Copa do Brasil to the Serie A, the players have had to compete in many different formats, which has only increased their exhaustion. And now key players like João Moreira, Patryck and Pablo Maia have been injured, making the situation even more complicated.
This means that the Tricolor will have to do without some key players who usually play an important role on the pitch. So it will be interesting to see if they can hold their own against Vasco in this state.
Let’s move on to Vasco da Gama. Can they really benefit from the current situation of São Paulo? The “Gigante da Colina” should not be underestimated, even if the current São Paulo v Vasco odds from the bookmakers do not necessarily see them as favorites.
But let’s be honest, these numbers often don’t tell the whole truth. After all, they have already won the first leg of the tie against the Tricolor 4-1, and that says it all.
Even though their league performances have declined recently and the 1-1 draw against Juventude was not particularly inspiring, it should not be forgotten that Vasco are difficult to beat.
A double chance X2 bet is therefore at the top of my list because Vasco have only lost once in a Serie A game since August – and that was to a superior side like Palmeiras (0-1).
This speaks to the team’s stability, and as a betting pro, you know to keep such statistics in the back of your mind. So if you’re looking for an attractive bet, this could be an interesting option.
Another interesting aspect is the statistics around the defense. Vasco has improved defensively during the last 15 match days, while São Paulo has been vulnerable defensively in recent games.
This bit of extra stability in the back four could give Vasco the decisive advantage.
The interaction between the defenders and the strategic understanding of the game will be crucial to stop São Paulo’s wave of attacks. And I can tell you, this will be an exciting duel that you won’t want to miss!
Personally, I would recommend an under 2.5 goals rate here, as I consider a result such as a 1-1 draw to be very likely.
However, the odds for fewer than three goals are only 1.63 on average in the betting markets, which is why I would ultimately rather turn my attention to the Bet-at-home voucher.
The reason why I can’t quite bring myself to pick an away win for my FC Sao Paulo Vasco tip has to do with the statistics.
Vasco da Gama has not won at their upcoming opponents’ ground for over 12 years (2 draws, 7 defeats).
It is no coincidence that I will be placing a Betano sports bet on this match.
The bookmaker is extremely reputable and now also sponsors the Brazilian league, which is officially called “Serie A Betano”.
Conclusion: In my FC São Paulo Vasco prediction, I tend to think that the guests will remain unbeaten.
The hosts could be tired as the strain of the past few weeks has visibly left its mark.
In addition, the bookmakers underestimate the away team, who were able to celebrate a clear victory against the Tricolor in the first leg.
Vasco is currently proving extremely difficult to crack and has hardly lost any Serie A games in months. That could help them take at least a point from this game as well.
My FC Sao Paulo Vasco betting tip: Double chance X2.
