Fenerbahce – Nottingham Tip Europa League, play-off first leg on Thursday, 19.02.2026 at 18:45 CET
For my Fenerbahce Nottingham tip, I have come up with a classic, which is based on the fact that the Turks have an enormous home strength, while the Tricky Trees are characterized by their goal threat.
I assume that both teams will score and get odds of 1.70 for this bet at Interwetten.
Above all, the fact that the English team already has their fourth coach this season in Vitor Pereira makes it difficult to predict this Europa League play-off duel.
Our bookmakers expect a relatively balanced box, even if Fenerbahce is the favorite with home win odds of around 2.20. A draw, which would of course mean a very good starting position for the guests for the second leg, brings a 3.40.
Even though the Tricky Trees are quite dangerous with an average of 1.875 goals, I don’t expect an away win. The Fenerbahce Nottingham odds for this tip reach a widespread 3.20.
Fenerbahce vs Nottingham AI predictions:
Of course, I also used our AI to get more Fenerbahce Nottingham bets. As a betting tip with low risk, the tip “Double chance 1X and over 1.5 goals in the match” was spat out.
A little more risky, but with an even greater chance of winning, is the AI tip on a victory for Fenerbahce and goals on both sides.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Victory Fenerbahce |
Draw |
Win Nottingham |
| 42% |
28% |
30% |
If you are looking for a high-risk tip, you can place a result bet on a 2-1 home win for Fener. This tip would correspond exactly to the xG values of our AI. Fenerbahce achieves an xG value of 2.10, Nottingham one of 1.32.
But my Fenerbahce Nottingham tip also lives up to this expectation, because I expect goals from both teams. An exact result bet is too risky for me, the “both to score odds” of Interwetten over 1.70 is completely sufficient for me.
What you need to know about Fenerbahce vs. Nottingham betting
- Fenerbahce have suffered only two defeats in 19 competitive games in the current 2025/26 season (12 wins, 5 draws).
- Nottingham Forest scored 15 goals in the EL league phase.
- Nottingham will take on Vitor Pereira – it is already their fourth coach this season, which indicates unstable internal structures.
- The modeled goal expectation of 2.10 to 1.32 is clearly on the side of the hosts from Istanbul.
- While Fener can draw almost from the full (Archie Brown is fit in time), Forest is missing top striker Chris Wood due to injury (calf problems).
