Champions League Quali, 3rd round, second leg, Tuesday, 13.08.2024 at 20:00
It looks as if an invisible lock is currently covering the door to the visitors’ box. Midtjylland have won all of their last four competitive games without conceding a goal.
For me, that sounds like an invitation to bet on “Ferencvaros Under 1.5 goals” with odds of 1.75 at Tipwin in the Ferencvaros Midtjylland betting tip.
The 2-0 win in the first leg was not Midtjylland’s first clash with Ferencvaros Budapest. The Danes enjoyed the clash back in 2017, winning both encounters in the second EL qualifying round. After 180 minutes, the Wolves were clearly the stronger team, scoring 7:3 goals.
After three matches, Midtjylland have a perfect record of three wins and 9:3 goals against Ferencvaros. For me, winning odds of 3.70 for the visitors are extremely tasty and invite the Betano betting bonus to become part of a winning bet.
Goals will want to be scored for the first time against the Hungarian champions. Ferencvaros have six points and 3-0 goals behind their name in the table after two league games.
Do you think the home side can carry their strength from the domestic competition into the CL qualifiers? If so, listen to the offer in the Bet365 app at odds of 2.00 for “Win Ferencvaros.”
It will be tricky for the Hungarian representative either way. The starting position forces Pascal Jansen’s team into attack mode right from the start. However, that is rarely a good sign against Midtjylland.
The Danish champions switch gears purposefully after winning the ball and consistently exploit a lack of defensive cover. In front of goal, the visitors usually have the necessary finishing ability and have scored at least one goal in every competitive match so far
In total, Midtjylland have only conceded three goals in seven competitive matches and have won four consecutive competitive matches without conceding a goal.
The odds of 6.00 for “Midtjylland to win without conceding a goal” at Tipwin reflect the risk, but are extremely tempting in the current phase and tempt me to use my sports betting bonus.
The hosts have been playing “all or nothing” recently. They either won their competitive matches without conceding a goal (2) or lost without scoring, as in the first leg against Midtjylland.
Success for the Wolves is conceivable despite higher odds. Coach Thomas Thomasberg has assembled a powerful squad that has been unbeaten in twelve competitive matches under his guidance.
Under these circumstances, I would even recommend using the Bet-at-Home voucher for odds of 1.80 on the bet “Double chance X2”
A complete turnaround for the home side would be a big surprise in my eyes, but cannot be ruled out with a coach like Pascal Jansen.
The 51-year-old was on the touchline at AZ Alkmaar for 162 matches between 2020 and 2024 and achieved a remarkable points average (1.93 points per game).
Midtjylland have been relying on the skills of Thomas Thomasberg since March 2023 and were absolutely right to do so. The 49-year-old has led the Wolves to an average of 2.02 points in 59 games
Ferencvaros should watch out for Adam Buksa in particular. The experienced new signing has scored in his first five competitive games for Midtjylland and gave them a 1-0 lead in the first leg.
In addition to the 28-year-old attacker, however, there are other players at FC Midtjylland who can provide a goal threat. Together, the Danish champions scored 2.12 expected goals in the first match.
The team from Budapest had scored considerably less. Ferencvaros had scored no more than 0.79 expected goals
After the 2:0 win in the first leg, Midtjylland are the big favorites to progress. The defense has not been defeated for weeks and the attack consistently takes advantage of its own opportunities.
Ferencvaros will still try and go on the run. The home side might manage to score. Beyond that, however, I don’t expect Jansen’s team to score any more goals.
My Ferencvaros Midtjylland tip: Ferencvaros will score a maximum of one goal
