Fiorentina – Jagiellonia Bialystok Tip Conference League, play-off second leg on Thursday, 26.02.2026 at 18:45 CET
I know fans of the “Viola” who have turned their backs on their favorite team in 2025/26 out of sheer frustration. But it is currently their best phase within a thoroughly disappointing season.
Because the topic of staying in the league is over, and the entry into the round of 16 should also be fixed after the strong victory from the previous week, which I correctly predicted. Nevertheless, this time I’m campaigning for a slightly different Fiorentina Jagiellonia Bialystok tip on Thursday.
This is a truly strong offer in view of the fact that the Poles have to set everything in motion early on to somehow make up for the 0:3 deficit, and the Italians will certainly act a little more cautiously at the beginning.
Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Bialystok AI predictions:
Our Fiorentina Jagiellonia Bialystok AI prediction even goes one better than my own suggestion – and why not?
1st goal: Jagiellonia promises even higher odds of currently 3.05 at any good bookmaker with a German betting license and is not a far-fetched scenario in view of the many setbacks of the “Viola” this season.
It is currently the first time this season that the two-time UECL finalists have won two competitive games in a row. In view of this massive inconsistency, an interim 1-0 for the Poles would be anything but sensational!
Especially since this result would not be catastrophic for the ACF, as the guests have to do much more to qualify for the round of 16 in the end.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Fiorentina |
Draw |
Win Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 62.9% |
20.4% |
16.7% |
1st half: Both teams score at odds around 4.20 is definitely a value pick. Because the traded values are higher than the percentage probability of occurrence, which I would attribute to a possible 1:1 or even 2:1 for the Italians at the break.
The Poles have to take their chances early on and play to win – but that could be exactly what could favour an extremely eventful course of the game, in which they run into one or two unfortunate counterattacks.
The final proposal is also justified by a high payout: Win one of the two halves: Jagiellonia usually triples your stake and is by no means hopeless.
Let’s assume it’s 2-1 for the Italians at half-time: A single goal by the Poles in the second half would probably not matter to ACF coach Paolo Vanoli …
What you need to consider when betting on Fiorentina vs. Jagiellonia Bialystok
- Polish opponents: Italian teams have historically lost only two of 32 home games against Polish clubs – curiously, Fiorentina was the victim both times (against Lech Poznan in 2015 and 2023)
- Comfortable starting position: After the sovereign 3-0 first leg win in Poland, the “Viola” has one foot in the round of sixteen; Fiorentina have progressed in the UECL every time they won the first leg
- Jagiellonia’s away streak: Despite the clear defeat in the first leg, the Poles travel with a remarkable record; they are still unbeaten away from home this European Cup season (W2 D4)
- Goal factory: Fiorentina are the first team in Conference League history to break the 100-goal mark (currently 103) – more than twice as many goals as second-placed KAA Gent (51)
