Fiorentina – Pisa Tip Serie A, Matchday 26 on Monday, 23/02/26 at 18:30
Simply a fine thing when you make a value pick, because the German bookmakers misjudge the situation. Take a look at my last successful tip for the victorious European Cup appearance of the “Viola”, then you will understand what I mean!
Shortly afterwards, I also looked at the odds for their next Serie A bet on Monday and found that a Fiorentina Pisa tip on their own betting slip can be “Win Fiorentina & Over 2.5 Goals” at valuable odds of about 2.42.
The promoted team is now defending itself much more fiercely against relegation than in the first half of the season. Pisa will therefore once again contribute to an entertaining football match. Especially since they have already scored 16 of their 20 league goals in 2025/26 away from home.
Fiorentina vs Pisa AI predictions:
Victory Fiorentina & Both score at odds around 3.20 is a prediction of our AI model that is not entirely dissimilar to my own expectations, which would also be the perfect answer of the home side to this hated day of the week.
Surprisingly, the “Viola” lost each of their last four games on a Monday, always with a final score of 1:2. I see it exactly the same way!
Especially since the promoted team – as already mentioned – is now attacking in the desperate search for points and has long since ceased to be just hunkering down at the back. Especially against the table neighbor, they have to go full throttle on Monday!
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Fiorentina | Draw |
Victory Pisa |
| 56.7% |
23.3% |
20% |
By the way, the Fiorentina Pisa AI forecast has two more betting suggestions in store for you, of which I celebrate the first one in particular.
Because the selection Fiorentina over 2.5 goals not only triples your stake in the event of success, but also enjoys really good chances!
ACF coach Paolo Vanoli’s players have scored between two and three goals in each of their last three competitive games and now face the weakest Serie A defence in the league in away games (42 goals conceded). So that could actually be something!
If you still don’t quite trust the hosts, then you can still grab a good portion of value with the quite safe pick Both Teams Score at odds around 1.75 at Winamax.
Because Fiorentina itself has an error-prone defence, which has only kept one clean sheet after Matchday 6 this season and has also conceded plenty of goals since then.
What you need to know about Fiorentina vs. Pisa betting
- Goal guarantee for the Viola: Both teams (BTTS) have scored in each of Fiorentina’s last seven league games – a run that speaks for an eventful game at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.
- Monday curse: The statistics warn Fiorentina before the start of the week – the club lost the last four Serie A games on a Monday with the exact result of 1:2.
- Tuscany complex of the guests: Pisa have been waiting for a win and even a goal of their own against regional rivals from Tuscany (4 draws, 3 defeats) for seven top-flight duels.
- Strong away promotion: Curiously, Pisa scores its goals almost exclusively away from home – 16 of the total 20 goals this season.



