Fiorentina – Rakow Tip Conference League, Round of 16, first leg on Thursday, 12.03.2026 at 21:00 CET
Just don’t let the big name lead you down the wrong path! Fiorentina may have already reached the final of this relatively new competition twice, but in my eyes they are the slight underdog in this round of 16.
In fact, my Fiorentina Rakow tip certifies that the guests have a more than real chance of creating an excellent starting position for the second leg by means of the selected draw-no-bet bet at odds of around 3.00.
In contrast to their upcoming opponents, the Poles have finished the league phase in the top 8 and will hardly take into account the fact that the “Viola” still has to play the Serie A duel against Cremonese between the first and second legs, which is important for staying in the league.
Fiorentina vs. Rakow AI predictions:
Our internal calculation model was fed with the best data, and it is precisely its Fiorentina Rakow AI forecast that has been brought to light that points out to me a really first-class betting option in terms of the reward-risk ratio.
Because a victory by Rakow Czestochowa turns every euro stake at many betting providers with PayPal as a means of payment almost exactly into a 5-euro note in the event of success.
That’s a highly tempting proposition, given that Fiorentina have already lost each of their last three European games against a Polish side.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Fiorentina |
Draw |
Victory Rakow |
| 55.9% |
24.1% |
20% |
The pick Fiorentina under 1.5 goals will lead to an approximate doubling of your stake if successful. Personally, I would even expect no goal at all from the Italians if Moise Kean should miss his second competitive game in a row after Sunday.
The Italian international is one of the few attacking forces who can develop a certain penetrating power up front with the “Viola”. But it is precisely his use on Thursday that is anything but certain.
Win a half: Rakow is a first-class suggestion at odds of about 2.50 at Betano Germany, if you are not quite comfortable with a win bet on the Poles. Because for at least 45 minutes they should be able to dictate the action as far as possible.
What you need to know about Fiorentina vs. Rakow betting
- The match at the Stadio Artemio Franchi is the first meeting between AC Fiorentina and Rakow; the Poles have few fond memories of Italian teams after losing both duels to Atalanta Bergamo in the 2023/24 Europa League season.
- Fiorentina as a knockout specialist: The “Viola” is a power in the knockout phase of the Conference League; of their eleven two-legged matches so far, they have successfully won ten – this shows their enormous resilience in the direct knockout system.
- Polish defensive bulwark: Rakow travels to Italy as one of the most stable teams in the competition; they are still unbeaten in the current Conference League season (four wins, two draws) and have remarkably conceded only two goals in six games.
- Fiorentina offensive in home mode: Fiorentina is a goal guarantee in front of their home crowd; they have scored in each of their last 13 major European knockout home games. Particularly impressive: In the last six of these home games, the team scored several goals each.
