Copa Libertadores 2024, Thursday, 19.09.2024 at 00:00
With a bit of luck, you could win a great prize thanks to my Fluminense Atletico MG prediction.
If you want a second helping on Wednesday after a long Champions League evening, the exciting first leg of the Copa Libertadores awaits you!
I’m expecting a high-scoring duel first and foremost, with Paulinho continuing his hunt for the coveted top scorer award. Nevertheless, the hosts should not allow themselves to be brought to their knees in their own stadium …
Both teams, Fluminense and Atletico MG, have already experienced some ups and downs this season, which should not have left their respective supporters cold either.
It’s worth taking a closer look at the respective form curves in order to make the best possible Fluminense Atletico MG betting tip.
In any case, me and my betting friends are involved in both the Champions League 2024 and the Copa Libertadores, but it fell to me to provide a promising betting tip for this thrilling Brazilian quarter-final clash.
Fluminense, affectionately known as “O Flu”, have had a season full of turbulence. After their historic triumph in the Copa Libertadores last year, many saw them as hot contenders for a successful title defense .
However, things are anything but smooth sailing in the domestic league. With just 27 points from 25 games, they are hovering perilously close to the relegation zone.
The change of coach from Fernando Diniz to Mano Menezes has brought some stability, but the record of seven wins, four draws and five defeats under the new coach speaks volumes about the team’s inconsistent form.
Nevertheless, they will go into this clash with a slight psychological advantage, having beaten Atletico-MG 2-0 away from home just a month ago. That could provide the necessary boost.
On the other hand, Atletico-MG – also known as “Galo” – have also had a season full of challenges.
After parting ways with a living legend like Luiz Felipe Scolari in the summer, Gabriel Milito took the helm. The new coach has managed to keep the team on track to some extent, but consistency leaves a lot to be desired.
With a current 10th place in the table and a mixed record of three wins, one draw and two defeats in the group stage of this competition, it is clear that not everything is going smoothly for the men in black & white either.
The 3-0 defeat against Bahia last Saturday in particular showed that the knot is far from being broken. Gabriel Milito still has a lot of work to do to make this team work.
Atletico-MG have not won since the international break and have failed to score three times in their last five league games.
The attack in particular still seems to be struggling, which could be problematic in a direct comparison with a team like Fluminense, who have at least looked a little more solid in defense recently.
The starting position for a goal bet tends to favor a defensive encounter. Nevertheless, I personally expect there to be a surprising number of goals on Thursday
When you think about possible betting scenarios, there are some interesting options that could be worthwhile in this duel. First of all, Fluminense are a force in their own stadium. They haven’t lost a competitive game in front of a home crowd since June.
That is a strong indication that they will be difficult to beat this time too.
That’s why I’m pointing you to the “Double Chance 1X” bet, which looks pretty safe with acceptable odds of around 1.40.
On the other side, Atletico-MG have Paulinho, who is in top form in the Copa Libertadores this season. Six goals in seven appearances speak for themselves!
The average odds for another goal from Paulinho are particularly attractive at 3.45. Given his current form, this could be a worthwhile chance for you to get even more out of this game.
There are a few key absentees for Fluminense that you should keep in mind when making your bets. Lele, Diogo Barbosa and Ignacio are injured and will therefore not be available for the quarter-final first leg. That weakens the defense a little.
But don’t worry, Jhon Arias is hot! He has scored in three of the last four games and, together with Kaua Elias, will probably play a key role in attack.
Atletico Mineiro, on the other hand, are missing four regulars, including Matias Zaracho, who had to end his season prematurely following a hernia operation. Alisson, Vargas and Otavio are also absent.
Conclusion: Fluminense may be weak in the league, but when it comes to international competitions, they know when to deliver.
They recently defeated Atletico Mineiro and are unbeaten at home for seven games. In my Fluminense Atletico MG prediction, home strength and momentum are therefore the main factors in favor of a useful result for the “O Flu”.
Nevertheless, the visitors could put in enough offensive accents here and there in the course of the game to score at least once.
My tip: Double chance 1X & over 2.5 goals
