Serie A Brazil, Matchday 14, Friday, 07/18/2025, 12:30 a.m.
Have the tears completely dried? After a great Club World Cup, which only ended in the semi-finals, Fluminense is now back in Serie A fighting for points. The results so far have been mixed, so a bit of consistency wouldn’t go amiss.
Their first opponent after the Club World Cup is traveling from Belo Horizonte – and is in really strong form! So now it’s my job to convince you in my Fluminense Cruzeiro tip that you can’t go wrong with the “Double Chance 1X” bet on under 3.5 goals.
If someone had told Fluminense fans before the start of the Club World Cup that their team would lose 2-0 to the eventual winners in the semi-finals, they would probably have jumped at the chance.
Tricolor played a great, inspiring tournament, and the team wasn’t that much worse in the 2-0 defeat to Chelsea. The 2-0 victory in the round of 16 against Inter Milan, the Champions League finalists, is particularly memorable.
It’s not easy to put the turbulent days in the US into perspective, because now it’s back to business as usual. There had been two wins before the break, and anyone who follows Fluminense knows that there was no lack of excitement here.
First of all, I would like to point out that more than two goals are never scored. 1-0, 2-1 or 2-0 are the results you’ll find on the winning side. The three defeats, which are also interesting, came away from home.
I look straight at the home statistics, which say: four wins and one draw – things are going well! Three 2-1 wins and one 1-0 win, with the fans always trembling until the final whistle to see if they really get the three points.
Since 2-1 is so popular, you can of course risk a result bet. Bet365 is offering odds of 10.0. If you want to take advantage of the bonus, you can grab betting credits of up to $100.
What about Cruzeiro as an opponent? Do the two teams enjoy playing each other? Fluminense will be pleased to hear that they have only lost one of their last ten games. They have even won five of their last six.
1-0, 1-0, 2-1? The last three home results fit perfectly into the current statistics. Does that automatically make Fluminense the favorite going into this match?
I would definitely say yes, because our bookmakers, who score points with fast payouts, are offering average odds of 2.20 to 3.40. And that’s despite the fact that the visitors are anything but out of form.
Cruzeiro is second, seven points ahead of Fluminense – but with two more games played. The club from Belo Horizonte did not participate in the Club World Cup, instead collecting points in the league.
Six wins and two draws, the past few weeks have been very successful. However, I can see a big difference between home and away games, and the fans won’t like that ahead of Thursday.
Two wins, two draws and two defeats, three games without scoring – things could definitely be better away from home. In their own stadium, however, Cruzeiro have six wins and one draw, which is a completely different story.
Nevertheless, I would like to point out that the team has kept a clean sheet in the first half for six games in a row, regardless of the venue. Is it worth betting on Fluminense not scoring in the first half?
Bet365 is offering odds of 1.58, which isn’t bad at all.
Cruzeiro brings a very accurate striker to Rio de Janeiro in Kaio Jorge. He has scored eleven times in twelve games, with six wins and one draw coming from his goals.
So let’s hurry back to Bet365, because the goal bet on the away striker is offering odds of 3.40.
Fluminense returns to league action after a great Club World Cup. An easy task? Not necessarily, because they are up against the second-placed team. Cruzeiro is in good form, but has some problems away from home.
Accordingly, I don’t really believe in an away win, because Fluminense is extremely strong at home, with only one draw “disturbing” the statistics. So the “Double Chance 1X” is a sure bet for me.
Since the home team will score a maximum of two goals and their last victories against Cruzeiro were narrow, I’m going for the following combination bet:
Fluminense will score a maximum of three goals!
