Frankfurt – Augsburg Tip Bundesliga, Matchday 14 on Saturday, 13.12.2025 at 15:30 CET
Eintracht pulled themselves out of the affair respectably during the week at Camp Nou, didn’t they? There were no points, but I still liked the performance.
What I also like is a crisp Oddset odds boosin combination with my Frankfurt Augsburg tip.
Yes, Manuel Baum saw what was probably the best performance of this team in the 2025/26 season last week as interim coach at the Fuggerstädter.
But against an opponent that FCA has only beaten once in the last 11 Bundesliga editions of this pairing, it will be difficult, especially when visiting Deutsche Bank Park.
I take the Frankfurt odds around 1.70 and say quite clearly – home win for the Eagles!
I’ve just mentioned some aspects of the head-to-head comparison, but I’ll give you the full picture here.
FC Augsburg have won only one of their last eleven Bundesliga ties against Eintracht Frankfurt – 2-1 at home in the 2023/24 season (5 draws, 5 defeats).
And things are looking anything but rosy for FCA away from home either: In the last six meetings in Frankfurt, the Fuggerstädters have only picked up 3 out of a possible 18 points (3 draws, 3 defeats).
Frankfurt – Augsburg Prediction & Betting
I have opted for a simple Frankfurt Augsburg tip without additional conditions, but there are many similar combination bets at German bookmakers that promise even higher winnings.
1. Goal & Win Frankfurt at values around 2.01 is a good example of this. Because FCA have lost each of the six Bundesliga games in which they conceded the first goal of the match.
Win Frankfurt & Over 2.5 goals at a slightly higher 2.32 is also a great alternative to a simple home win bet. Because where Eintracht performs, there is usually a big bang.
Did you know that their Bundesliga games have averaged 4.38 goals since the start of the season? The second highest value in the league!
What you need to know about Frankfurt vs. Augsburg betting
- Frankfurt’s games have scored the second most goals in the Bundesliga (average 4.38 per game). Dino Toppmöller’s team also conceded the most goals (29).
- Augsburg have lost eight of their 13 league games this season. Sandro Wagner’s team have not won any of their last five Bundesliga away games (four defeats).
- In the last five direct duels between Frankfurt and Augsburg, the home team was always considered the favourite.
- Jonathan Burkardt scored eight goals from 6.03 xG in ten appearances for Frankfurt this Bundesliga season. However, he is out injured. He scored five times more often than the second-best attacker Ritsu Doan (3).
Frankfurt – Augsburg: AI Tip & Odds Analysis
Our data model has a mind of its own and some suggestions convince me more, others less. In any case, I subjected the Frankfurt Augsburg AI forecast to a strict reality check.
The selection “Ansgar Knauff meets”, which promises you a value of about 3.40 without an additional odds boost, passed this test.
An injury to Jonathan Burkardt makes it possible for Knauff to be the center of attention at the moment. Although he has only scored five goals in his 20 appearances for Eintracht so far, he was to finish surprisingly often against the crumbling FCA defence on Saturday.
3+ goals: Frankfurt logically implies that Eintracht will score at least one hat-trick – but if you win, you can expect an attractive odd of around 2.82.
The potential for the success of this AI proposal is definitely there, as the Fuggerstädter record an average of 2.08 Bundesliga goals conceded per appearance and could well go down at Deutsche Bank Park on a bad day.
In any case, I think results like a 3-1 or even 4-1 for the SGE on Saturday are the most likely.
The best odds for Frankfurt vs. Augsburg
Let’s take a fresh look at the Frankfurt Augsburg odds – a market in which bookmakers have noticeable confidence in the Hessians without writing off Augsburg completely. The home win of the SGE is currently rated at 1.70.
This clearly shows that the bookmakers classify Eintracht as the structurally stronger team: higher game control, more depth in the squad and recently more stable performances. The ratings makers apparently assume that Frankfurt will set the pace and rhythm.
The draw is 4.20. With this, the bookies signal that a tight, tough game is quite possible, but does not represent the expected standard scenario.
Such quotas often reflect that a “longer struggle” is only seen as a side path.
For an Augsburg away win, there is 4.40 – a value that shows that FCA is not completely written off, but from the point of view of the bookmakers simply has fewer arguments on its side.
Augsburg’s switching strength and set-piece qualities are priced in, but are not enough for a role as favourites.
Frankfurt vs Augsburg Match Analysis:
Frankfurt’s bitter 4-0 defeat in Leipzig threw them out of the top six for a short time, but the gap to the bottom remains comfortable – eight points to an Augsburg that slips dangerously close to the relegation zone.
Under Dino Toppmöller, the game continues to go fully on the offensive: Hessian games deliver an average of 4.38 goals and are only surpassed by Bayern games.
Augsburg is also well above average with 3.38 goals, which means that an open, promising duel can be expected here.
Defensively, both wobble regularly – Frankfurt concede the most goals in the league, Augsburg the third most. A single mistake in the structure can completely tip this thing over.
As far as the distribution of game shares is concerned, almost everything speaks in Frankfurt’s favour. The field tilt of 53.07 is significantly higher than that of Augsburg, which has 7.37 points less in a direct comparison.
The 1×2 odds confirm that the home side should set the tone. But it is also clear that Frankfurt have been living for weeks from the fact that the offense regularly helps them out of trouble – and right now important attackers are missing due to injury!
So it won’t be easy. Nevertheless, Toppmöller has the higher quality in the squad, which is why Eintracht will approach this home game with a broad chest despite a shaky defence.
Frankfurt Form Check
Frankfurt is currently in a real results crisis. The Hessians have been waiting for a win for four games, most recently a 2-1 defeat against Barcelona on Tuesday.
With only four points in the league phase, the chances of progressing are minimal – Qarabag and Tottenham are also waiting in 2026 in the new year, which does not make the task any easier.
Victories against Augsburg and Hamburg before the winter break would be all the more important. The 6-0 defeat in Leipzig was the heaviest slap of the season so far, including four goals conceded in the second half.
Bitter, because before that, Eintracht was unbeaten in six Bundesliga games.
Defensively, it is ablaze: 29 goals conceded and an average of 2.23 per game – significantly worse than the 1.35 in the previous year.
The xGA delta of +10.49 is the highest in the Bundesliga and clearly shows that Frankfurt is far underperforming, both individually and structurally.
Offensively, the fact that Batshuayi (metatarsal) and Burkardt (calf) are out is an aggravating factor. With Wahi, only a true nine is available, which limits variants enormously.
The dry spell has an effect on the table: Eintracht has slipped out of the top six. According to our data model, the chance of reaching the Champions League is only 32%, but reaching the top six remains very realistic at 78.3%.
Augsburg Form Check
Augsburg has recently experienced a small upswing. Six points from the last three games – only one less than from the first ten games combined.
Particularly important: The home wins against Hamburg and Leverkusen were the first two Bundesliga games of the season in which Augsburg kept a clean sheet.
The 2-0 win against Leverkusen was a real statement and at the same time the perfect debut for interim coach Manuel Baum. Giannoulis and Kade scored early, the aggressive pressing and high intensity visibly caused Leverkusen problems.
With the victory, Augsburg jumped to 13th place and created a five-point cushion on the direct relegation ranks.
Away from home, the picture looks much worse: In six games, they have always conceded at least one goal and lost four times. The average of 0.67 points per away game is significantly below the value of the previous season (1.18).
Nevertheless, there is no acute danger – our data model gives Augsburg only an 8.6% chance of relegation.
On the ball, Augsburg is one of the teams with the least possession of the ball with 44.9%, but the pressing is strong: A PPDA of 12.9 means seventh place in the league.
The problem remains the offensive: Despite 12.38 shots per game, there are only 1.14 xG – the second worst value in the Bundesliga.
