Bundesliga 29th matchday, Sunday, 13.04.2025 at 5:30 pm
Six match days remain for us – for Eintracht Frankfurt, the 2024/25 season could end early! The SGE is desperate to get into the Champions League, but has to fend off tough competition. In this 29th round, the Hessians will not get anything for free either.
In my Frankfurt Heidenheim betting tip, the Eagles enjoy home advantage, but have to manage the balancing act between the Europa League and the Bundesliga. Since their rivals are in the middle of the relegation battle, I expect a lot of defensive resistance and have therefore decided to bet on “Under 3.5 goals”.
Not everything is going well for Frankfurt, and not too long ago Union Berlin was able to take three points from the Main. On the other hand, the guest is by no means in a bad mood, only losing to the champions from Leverkusen in the last second.
I don’t expect a clear-cut affair like in the first half of the season, when Eintracht won 4-0. Rather, I expect a passionately played game that will be played out in the midfield – and maybe Heidenheim can benefit from the fact that the Eagles were in Tottenham on Thursday.
It is definitely necessary to be careful, because both sides know that if we squander a victory, it could set us back significantly in terms of our overall goal for the season – a draw doesn’t really help anyone!
The betting providers’ prediction?
With eight wins, Eintracht Frankfurt are not doing badly at home, but they are not infallible either. Nevertheless, it is enough to easily fulfill the role of favorites on Sunday, with odds rising to an average of 1.70.
Heidenheim is actually doing quite well with 4.30. Could this be because the Swabians have not lost in their last three away games and almost got something out of the game against Leverkusen?
FCH has collected one point in two of its last three away games. If you are therefore also thinking of a draw for the weekend, you can calculate with an average odds of 4.10.
AI prediction Frankfurt vs Heidenheim: That’s what ChatGPT predicts
This weekend, we will of course be taking another look at ChatGPT together. I can say right away that I am not impressed by all the suggestions regarding the match between Frankfurt and Heidenheim.
The bet, which implies a high risk, is based on a home win with a handicap of -2. A Frankfurt win with at least a three-goal lead? FCH has only lost by such a margin away from home against Leverkusen, and SGE also had to play Tottenham in the EL on Thursday. So this risk is definitely too high for me.
I also don’t see enough in the “Over 3.5 goals” bet to agree. Eintracht have scored a maximum of one goal in seven of their last nine games, so I’m not betting on a goal fest on Sunday.
“Frankfurt scores first” is the last AI suggestion. The SGE has conceded a 0-1 at home five times, so I’m not sure about that either. The team that wants to take more risks will be the first to score – it’s hard to say which one it will be.
Analysis: Frankfurt vs Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt, in third place, have 48 points, while Stuttgart, in ninth place, currently have eight fewer. What does this show? Quite simply that it is far from certain which teams will make it into the Champions League in 2024/25.
The Eagles are of course benefiting from the fact that a number of established clubs such as Leipzig and Dortmund are surprisingly weak, because they themselves are not having an absolutely fantastic season with 14 wins, six draws and eight defeats.
Four of the last six games, for example, have been lost, with a 2-0 defeat in Bremen a few days ago. It was a “special” result, because it was only the third this season that did not imply a goal of its own.
It has already happened twice to the Hessians that they could not score three points after an away defeat in the following home game. Does it matter that the team was still playing in Europe on Thursday?
Odds Analysis
Frankfurt’s Eintracht is really not easy to see through this season, because they just don’t perform consistently. I’m therefore not so sure whether we will see a home win on Sunday and can imagine the “double chance X2”. At Interwetten, you will find a strong rate of 2.10 for this.
At the same time, it was the first time this season that SGE failed to score before half-time for two consecutive matches. If a third game follows, the odds at Betano will rise to 2.07. With the code “BONUSVIP”, you can also get a 20-euro free bet.
Regarding an outcome bet, I can actually imagine a 1-1 draw. Heidenheim are currently performing unpleasantly, and the international burden on the eagles cannot be dismissed out of hand. The odds for this result read quite profitably at 8.25.
Frankfurt vs. Heidenheim: The EL is a burden for SGE!
In the Europa League quarter-final first leg, they were guests of Tottenham Hotspur. In an intense game, the Hessians fought hard to get a 1-1 draw and thus have the best chance of advancing to the semi-finals in the second leg in front of their home crowd.
When the first leg (against Ajax Amsterdam) was played in the last sixteen, Frankfurt lost a little later at home to Union Berlin. It was one of only three home defeats, but there has been no home win in almost three months.
At this point, I also have to criticize the defense. There have already been 18 goals conceded in the second half of the season – the upcoming opponent Heidenheim is only in 17th place in this statistic.
In the 2-0 defeat to Bremen, it was the tenth time that it had conceded a goal from a corner, with only Wolfsburg conceding more goals in this way. At least Frankfurt kept a clean sheet in the first 45 minutes in five of the last six home games.
Heidenheim has taken up the fight
The fans would of course like to see a repeat of the first half of the season, when they took a 4-0 lead from Heidenheim. The only home game against FCH so far took place in 2023 and ended 2-0.
The visitors from the Swabian Alb are currently in the relegation spot, but it is also only four points to the bottom of the table. The safety line is also currently four points away.
After a small streak of three games without a defeat, the Swabians lost again last weekend, but still received some compliments. The 0-1 against Leverkusen was a bitter goal in injury time.
Even before that, the defense had not shown itself from a bad side. 1:1 against Hoffenheim, 3:1 against Kiel and 1:0 in Wolfsburg, with three goals conceded in the last four games, you can definitely live with that.
Before that, they had only managed to keep fewer than two clean sheets twice since the beginning of November. FCH are now unbeaten in three away games, whereas before this run they had not even managed to go two games without a defeat.
One problem, however, could be that the team has already conceded 18 defeats this season. Never before has a team with so many defeats managed to avoid relegation – so it’s a good thing that Bochum and Kiel have also lost just as often.
How strong are Heidenheim’s nerves? In the 1-0 defeat to Leverkusen, it was the sixth time that a goal had been conceded in injury time, and already twelve times in the final quarter of an hour.
My Frankfurt Heidenheim Tip:
Frankfurt is favored going into the home game against Heidenheim, so far, so good. At SGE, they dream of the Champions League, which is also absolutely realistic. But: you are never immune to mistakes, and there can be surprising results even at home.
Heidenheim is by no means an easy opponent at this stage of the season. The Swabians are doing everything they can to avoid relegation, have improved defensively and have not been beaten in their last three away games.
Since the goal against Leverkusen was only conceded in injury time and Frankfurt has 90 tough minutes from the Europa League against Tottenham in the bones, I have decided to bet:
Three goals is the end!
