Bundesliga Matchday 7, Saturday, 19.10.2024 at 15:30
In my Freiburg Augsburg betting tip, we take a look at the most interesting betting options for this match, which are available online at Oddset, among others. But other reputable betting providers are also recommended!
We look at various scenarios and highlight which Freiburg Augsburg odds and offers appear particularly promising.
Is it worth betting on a low-scoring encounter or is it more likely that Freiburg will score in the second half? I’ll analyze the odds for you and give you an overview of the best options available to bet successfully on this match.
In 2024, meanwhile, we can’t avoid getting objective suggestions from ChatGPT. And so I will be evaluating the Freiburg Augsburg AI prediction for Saturday proposed by the artificial intelligence in detail.
At the heart of my work is the fervent desire to give you a promising Freiburg Augsburg tip on the way to the online betting office, hopefully equipped with a valid sports betting license. And any means is fine with me!
The bookmakers’ forecast?
Anybody who followed last season will know that the Black Forest side are extremely good at not coming away empty-handed against clubs in the second half of the table.
The bookmakers have also taken this tendency into account when setting their respective Freiburg Augsburg odds.
For example, there are odds of around 1.75 for a Freiburg home win, which promise a significantly lower sports betting payout than the average of 4.90 for the opposite outcome of the game.
KI prediction Freiburg vs Augsburg: ChatGPT
The Freiburg Augsburg AI prediction for the high-risk bet that Augsburg will win after falling behind is creative and extremely bold.
The scenario fits well with the unpredictable performances of the Fuggerstädter, who are able to fight their way back even in difficult games. This is certainly an exciting option for risk-taking bettors.
However, even at a value of around 9.50, the probability of this event occurring is ultimately not high enough for even this generous odds offer to be accepted.
The Freiburg Augsburg AI prediction for the medium risk bet that Freiburg will win with -1 Asian Handicap, on the other hand, looks solid, but not particularly promising.
Freiburg’s home strength is taken into account here, but it could be tighter than expected against an unpleasant Augsburg. Overall, a very risky betting choice in my opinion.
The low-risk bet on over 2.5 goals is also disappointing. The Freiburg Augsburg AI prediction ignores important background information here, such as the fact that Freiburg’s often stable defense ensures manageable final results.
This standard tip therefore provides little added value and is not really tailored to the specific match. I rate the possibility of a 1-0 win for the Black Forest side as extremely high.
Analysis: Freiburg vs Augsburg
Freiburg bounced back from a surprising 3-0 home defeat to promoted St. Pauli with a narrow 1-0 win over Werder Bremen to go into the international break in fourth place.
A win against Augsburg could take them to 15 points, which would mean the best start to a season in their Bundesliga history. A success that new coach Julian Schuster could hardly have dreamed of.
Freiburg’s recent record speaks in their favor: they have not lost a Bundesliga clash against Augsburg at home since 2014 (8 wins, 1 draw). However, Augsburg’s last win came in their last encounter in February, so Schuster will not underestimate their opponents.
Augsburg urgently need to score away from home, as they have so far remained goalless on foreign pitches and lost both games 0:4 (against Heidenheim and Leipzig).
The Fuggerstädter have not won in six Bundesliga away games and another defeat would add to their negative record.
On a positive note, however, Augsburg went into the break with a 2:1 win against Mönchengladbach. A win in Freiburg would be their first double since March, but their defense remains a weak point with no clean sheets since April.
Ratings analysis
I would advise against a classic goal bet this time, because honestly, I really expect a low-scoring game here. Maybe one goal will be scored, two at most.
But one thing just won’t let me go: the bookmakers seem to be offering almost lavishly high odds on this game if Vincenzo Grifo scores the 1:0 – sometimes around 7.80!
Have you noticed that too? It seems they’ve overlooked the fact that the Italian particularly likes to score against Augsburg.
He is currently the player with the most goals for SC Freiburg this season (2 goals, 3 assists) and proved it again last matchday with an assist for Doan.
However, Grifo has struck particularly often against the Fuggerstädter: In the Bundesliga, he has not collected as many scoring points against any other club as against FCA – a total of ten (6 goals, 4 assists).
Freiburg vs. Augsburg odds: Under 1.5 goals at half-time!
Sounds almost like a crazy coincidence, but maybe there’s more to it than that. Since April, Freiburg have simply not managed to score a goal in the first 25 minutes of a home game.
Whether against weaker opponents or against the top teams in the league – the first few minutes in their own stadium remain goalless. Possible reasons? Perhaps a probing phase in which the Breisgau side want to be defensively secure.
Or perhaps they are relying on the famous second wind and conserving their energy for later. In any case, you shouldn’t bet on an early goal here – the statistics speak against it.
If anyone wins, it’s Sportclub!
This match between Freiburg and Augsburg promises anything but a goal festival. Augsburg not only have the worst away record in the league, but have also waited in vain for six Bundesliga games to pick up a point away from home.
Particularly bitter: Augsburg have yet to score a single goal away from home this season. That is unlikely to make things any easier against a solid Freiburg team, who have already won four games this season and have only lost twice.
In Julian Schuster, Freiburg have a coach who has ensured a strong start to the season – 12 points from six games speaks for itself.
The fact that Augsburg’s defense is shaky is also evident with 15 goals conceded in six games.
Even if FCA coach Jess Thorup can stabilize the team, the statistics speak against the visitors: Freiburg have won 83% of their home games against Augsburg – a better average than against any other Bundesliga opponent.
In bare figures, Augsburg have actually lost 10 of their 12 competitive games at home to Sportclub.
Overall, it looks as if Freiburg will be able to live up to their role as favourites on Saturday afternoon, but without setting off a firework display.
The stable defense of the Breisgauers and Augsburg’s offensive weakness could ensure a rather low-scoring game in which Freiburg narrowly retains the upper hand.
My Freiburg Augsburg tip:
I can already see it coming: Lots of cross-shoving, a boring first half – and in the end Vincenzo Grifo either curls a free-kick straight in or uses a teammate’s head as a cushion.
In the end, I can very well imagine a 1-0 win for the Black Forest side, who have simply started the 2024/25 season better.
However, since I also have a 1:1, 0:0 and 2:1 on the calculation, I advise you not to take too much risk here and to make your Freiburg Augsburg betting tip in such a way that these three results are also covered. In other words, a double chance of 1X and less than 3.5 goals in the match. Intertops gives you odds of 1.75 for this bet.
My tip: Double chance 1X & Under 3.5 goals.
