Freiburg – Frankfurt Prediction Bundesliga, Matchday 7 on Sunday, 10/19/2025 at 3:30 p.m.
SC Freiburg and Eintracht Frankfurt, two neighbors in the table, will face each other on Matchday 7 of the Bundesliga. After three defeats in their last four games, SGE wants to stabilize again, but faces a major challenge in Breisgau.
Frankfurt’s rather wild approach to the game is ultimately the main reason why I decided on the combination bet “Both teams to score & over 2.5 goals” at odds of around 1.80 at Oddset in my Freiburg Frankfurt tip.
In short: Eintracht likes to play offensively, but can’t keep things tight at the back. The fact that Frankfurt has a goal difference of 17:16 after six match days is downright curious.
In Freiburg, they are also facing an opponent who knows where the goal is. SCF has scored at least one goal in 23 of its last 24 games. That is quite impressive.
Freiburg – Frankfurt Prediction & Betting
Given Frankfurt’s wild style of play and Freiburg’s scoring streak, I find it somewhat surprising that both parts of my combination bet are also available as single bets from sports betting providers at odds of over 1.50.
So “both teams to score” is a strong alternative tip for anyone who wants to take a safety-first approach. “Over 2.5 goals” is even better value at around 1.60. Impressive: this tip would have come in for Frankfurt’s last nine games.
I have also set my sights on the tip “Frankfurt over 1.5 goals.” The odds are 2.05 and, given the Hessians’ offensive strength, it is worth considering. After all, only Bayern (25 goals) are more successful in the Bundesliga.
What you need to consider when betting on Freiburg vs. Frankfurt
- After six games, Freiburg averages 12.0 shots per 90 minutes – less than Frankfurt, which averages 15.5. The hosts averaged 12.35 shots on goal per home game last Bundesliga season, the third-lowest figure from 17 home games.
- Despite sitting seventh in the Bundesliga table, Frankfurt’s 8.9 expected points (xPTS) ranks only 14th out of 18 top-flight clubs.
- In the odds for Freiburg vs. Frankfurt, the hosts are narrow favorites at 2.50 – a trend that continues. In each of the last three seasons, Freiburg went into their home games against Frankfurt as slight underdogs.
- Vincenzo Grifo has an average shot distance of approximately 23 meters, which is the fifth-longest of any player who has taken at least five shots in the Bundesliga. The Freiburg midfielder is not afraid to try his luck from distance. Not a single one of his shots came from a set piece.
Freiburg – Frankfurt: AI tip & odds analysis
Our AI model doesn’t want to miss out on the potential spectacle between Freiburg and Frankfurt either, of course, and presents – right on cue – its very own Freiburg Frankfurt AI prediction.
First of all, the digital brain is predicting an away win for Frankfurt. The odds in the Oddset app are around 2.60. Nevertheless, I urge caution. Freiburg has not lost its last eight games, while Frankfurt is struggling with form problems.
More interesting is the selection “draw at half-time” at odds of around 2.30. Just like the AI, I expect a close match. A 1-1 score at halftime would not surprise me at all.
The AI is taking a big risk with its final prediction. The “2-2 result bet” has impressive odds of around 2.2. On the one hand, Frankfurt’s preference for high-scoring results speaks in favor of this. On the other hand, Freiburg has ended three of its last four games in a draw.
The best odds for Freiburg vs. Frankfurt
For Freiburg vs. Frankfurt, the odds see the hosts as slight favorites to win, with 2.50 on the 1X2 market.
This trend is consistent with bookmaker ratings in recent years: in each of the last three seasons, Freiburg went into their home games against Eintracht Frankfurt as slight underdogs.
The current odds suggest that Frankfurt would be considered the favorite on neutral ground. Historical odds confirm this: in the last five home games against their upcoming opponent, Frankfurt started as the favorite each time.
The Asian handicap is set at 0.0, as both teams are very evenly matched. In the event of a draw, the stake will be refunded in full with this line. For bettors who don’t want to commit 100% to either team, this handicap option can therefore be a smart choice.
Our internal prediction model predicts a total of 2.98 expected goals (xG) for the Freiburg vs. Frankfurt match. The Asian goal line for the upcoming game is 3.0, taking into account Frankfurt’s offensive strength.
The visitors have averaged 5.50 goals per 90 minutes after six games. No team in the Bundesliga—not even Bayern (4.67)—surpasses Frankfurt in this statistic.
Freiburg vs Frankfurt Match Analysis:
Frankfurt goes into the game one point ahead of Freiburg. Even though it is still early in the season, this duel could be decisive – both teams once again have ambitions for European places.
Dino Toppmöller’s team is tactically versatile. They are willing to press early, boasting the seventh-lowest PPDA (passes allowed per defensive action) in the Bundesliga.
At the same time, the team is also comfortable playing a slightly deeper formation and then relying on quick counterattacks. This approach worked perfectly in their last appearance at the same venue: with only 40 percent possession, Frankfurt won the xG duel and took all three points.
Julian Schuster, on the other hand, cannot rely on a stable defense at the Europa-Park Stadium. Since the start of last season, Freiburg has conceded an average of 1.55 goals per league game there – despite finishing a strong fifth in the 2024/25 season.
It is therefore to be expected that Freiburg will look to push forward against a Frankfurt side that is also defensively vulnerable.
Freiburg form check
With eight points from six games, Freiburg has shown very inconsistent form so far. Julian Schuster’s team has not been convincing in either attack or defense, but has built up a certain stability with eight unbeaten games in a row.
Despite the unbeaten run, the 0-0 draw against Gladbach revealed the existing problems: Freiburg won the xG duel, but only managed 0.70 expected goals in total. Against one of the league’s weakest teams, a draw is a sobering result.
The underlying data also paints a mixed picture. Freiburg ranks in the middle of the table in all relevant metrics, such as xG (expected goals) and xGA (expected goals against). With this style of play, an attack on the top six will be virtually impossible.
The Breisgau Brazilians have yet to keep a clean sheet at home, but have scored in every game. This style of play should suit their upcoming opponents Frankfurt, who prefer open games and benefit from high strike rates in attack.
Frankfurt form check
Frankfurt started the season with two clear wins before stumbling against Leverkusen. Even more painful, however, was the subsequent 3-4 home defeat against Union Berlin.
The following game against Gladbach summed up the season so far: the 6-4 win against one of the weakest teams in the league revealed defensive weaknesses that are all too often masked by the team’s offensive quality.
Frankfurt is second only to Bayern in terms of goals scored per game (2.8 per 90 minutes). At the same time, however, the team has also conceded the most goals – an average of 2.7 per game.
Dino Toppmöller’s team loves to play from box to box – attractive to watch, but so far without any tangible results in the decisive moments.
By far the biggest bright spot is Can Uzun. The Turkish midfielder has scored five goals in six games and has only failed to score against Bayern Munich. As he has had little playing time for the national team so far, he is likely to return to the league in top form.
