Genk – Freiburg Tip Europa League, Round of 16, first leg on Thursday, 12.03.26 at 21:00
As successful as it is minimalist, Freiburger Sport-Club has fought its way through the league phase of the Europa League. Above all, because the Breisgau team defended, the team marched directly into the round of 16 with only one defeat from eight games.
The total of only four goals conceded was undercut by the draw kings from Pilsen. In total, the Bundesliga has already finished four clean sheets in the current competition.
I also see the fact that it never conceded more than one goal as decisive for my Genk Freiburg tip. With a betting provider with PayPal, I finally commit myself to the fact that it will now also remain in Belgium with a maximum of one impact in the goal of the guests.
Genk vs. Freiburg AI predictions:
Our AI also seems to be quite consistent with the performances of the league phase in the corresponding Genk Freiburg predictions.
After only two goals were scored in two of the eight games of the sports club, the recommended Under 2.5 goals at a strong odd of 1.95 also seem to me to be a really good idea.
Since the last four appearances have always been a maximum of one goal, the even more courageous Under 1.5 goals at odds of just under 4.00 could be a case for the bet365 voucher.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Win Genk |
Draw |
Victory Freiburg |
| 41% |
25.3% |
33.7% |
The further forecasts of our artificial intelligence also receive my blessing in principle. For the Double Chance X2, however, the odds are a little too thin for me with values of about 1.42.
However, the probability of occurrence can of course be seen very well here, after all, Genk almost messed up the playoffs in front of their home crowd.
What you need to consider when betting on Genk vs. Freiburg
- Genk have won just one of their eight European matches against German opponents (D3 L4), a 5-0 home win against MSV Duisburg in the Cup Winners’ Cup in October 1998.
- Freiburg have never faced a Belgian side in European competition – German teams have won six of their seven UEFA Europa League knockout matches against Belgian teams.
- Genk have scored 17 goals in ten UEFA Europa League games in the 2025/26 season, including 16 in their last seven games. Only in the 2016/17 season has the team scored more goals in a European season (25).
- No player has been involved in more goals in the UEFA Europa League this season than Daan Heymans for Genk (4 goals, 4 assists).
