Serie A, Monday, 17/02/2025 at 20:45
No deposit free bets are a great way to get a taste of the world of sports betting without taking any risks. And to go with it, I also have a promising Genoa Venezia tip for you.
Strictly speaking, this is a duel between two potential relegation candidates, but I consider the hosts to be the better team by far.
Are they in danger of being relegated after all? After an initially strong streak with three wins in five games before February, Genoa has recently lost some ground again.
Their recent results – a 2-1 loss to Fiorentina followed by a 1-1 draw with Torino – show that they have struggled to come back from behind recently.
Nevertheless, the overall development of the Rossoblù under Patrick Vieira is not bad considering how difficult the situation was at the start of the season.
However, the home side have been particularly strong at home, where they have enjoyed much more success than on the road. They have won two of their last six home matches (3 draws) and only lost once in that period.
Their defense has been particularly solid of late, which could prove to be a decisive advantage against an opponent like Venezia, who are struggling in attack.
What’s more, the long-established club from Liguria have usually done well in direct duels with the “Lagunari” and have not been beaten at home by them since 1997 (5 wins, 3 draws).
On the other hand, Venezia continue to face the threat of relegation to Serie B. The club from the lagoon city is stuck deep in the relegation zone and has now been waiting for seven games for a win (3 draws, 4 defeats).
Although there have been some respectable draws recently, the lack of momentum in offensive play and, above all, the catastrophic defensive work, are destroying any hope of staying in the league.
The away record is particularly alarming: they are the only team in the league without a single away win (4 draws, 8 defeats).
The problems on foreign soil are obvious – especially in the final phase, they regularly break down and concede late goals on the production line.
A small boost for the guests could be provided by coach Eusebio Di Francesco. The experienced coach of the promoted team has only lost four of his 16 meetings against Genoa as a coach and therefore seems to have a knack for this opponent.
Added to that is the impressive 2-0 win in the first leg of their meeting, which allowed Venezia to celebrate an early season highlight.
Should they manage to win the second league game, it would be the first time in their Serie A history that they have won both games against Genoa in a single season.
But the defense remains a huge problem: since the aforementioned 2-0 win against Genoa, the “Arancioneroverdi” have conceded at least one goal in each of the subsequent 19 games.
This means that sports betting fans have an exciting opportunity here. While Genoa is hoping for a turnaround with its home strength, Venice is keen to seize the historic opportunity for a double victory.
But to do that, they would have to stabilize defensively and finally show a courageous performance over 90 minutes away from home. That won’t work, which is why I would recommend an “Over 2.5 goals” bet first.
Statistically, there is a good chance of goals on both sides – especially because Genoa are often dominant offensively at home, while, of all teams, Venezia have conceded the most Serie A away goals in the league so far (24).
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Conclusion: Genoa go into this duel as clear favorites, not only because of their home advantage, but also because of the clear difference in quality.
The “Rossoblù” perform strongly in their own stadium and should be able to easily dominate a team like Venice, which has major problems away from home anyway.
The visitors’ defense in particular is a real problem child – too porous, too disorganized and now possibly also without important defenders like Sagrado and Sverko.
If these absences are confirmed, the promoted team will hardly stand a chance of taking anything away from this game. Everything points to a confident home win for the hosts!
My Genoa Venice tip is therefore: half-time/final score 1/1.
