Germany – Northern Ireland Prediction World Cup Qualifiers, Group A, Matchday 2, 07.09.2025 at 8:45 p.m.
After the debacle against Slovakia a few days ago, the German camp is in dire straits! Is Germany’s World Cup participation in danger for the first time in the DFB’s long history?
I wouldn’t go that far, and in fact I expect a strong reaction from Nagelsmann’s team on Sunday in Cologne. With this expectation in mind, I will be inaugurating the Merkur Bets welcome bonus from the bookmaker of the same name!
My Germany vs. Northern Ireland tip is based on the belief that the fierce criticism from the press will spur the home team on from the start to find a way forward!
My Germany vs. Northern Ireland prediction: HT/FT 1/1 & GER to win to nil
Here are the reasons for my prediction:
- NIR has lost 3 of its last 5 games against GER to nil.
- For NIR, this would be their first back-to-back away win in 4 years.
- Germany has never missed a World Cup finals.
Germany has won each of the last nine head-to-head matches, and with only one exception, there has always been a difference of at least two goals between the two teams.
It’s clear that betting providers with German licenses are expecting a victory for Nagelsmann’s team in their respective Germany vs. Northern Ireland odds on Sunday, which will silence the critics.
Especially since the last time a Northern Irish team visited Germany – in November 2019 – they went home with a devastating 1-6 defeat…
Germany – Northern Ireland Prediction & Betting
My own Germany Northern Ireland prediction differs slightly from that of our AI model, which I will discuss in more detail in a moment!
I recommend betting on a Germany win with HC -3 at odds of around 3.50, as well as Germany winning both halves at slightly lower odds of around 1.95.
Strictly speaking, you could even combine both suggestions using the handy Bet-at-home app and thus aim for even higher winnings.
For my part, I firmly believe that Nagelsmann’s team will put constant pressure on the Northern Irish goal for 90 minutes.
What you need to consider when betting on Germany vs. Northern Ireland
- Germany remained unbeaten in eight games after Euro 2024, losing only to Portugal, France, and most recently Slovakia. However, they conceded seven goals in their last three home games.
- Northern Ireland has won only 6 of its last 18 World Cup and European Championship qualifiers.
- Northern Ireland has scored in each of its last eight games, even against Denmark, Sweden, and Switzerland.
- Germany has won its last nine games against Northern Ireland, conceding only four goals.
- Nick Woltemade was the top scorer at the 2025 U21 European Championship, but is yet to score for the senior national team.
Germany – Northern Ireland: AI tip & odds analysis
1st goal: Florian Wirtz at odds of around 4.75 is the first betting tip that our in-house AI model has given me as part of its Germany vs. Northern Ireland AI prediction.
I can go with that, especially given the odds! Of the attacking players, he was the one who impressed me the most against Slovakia with his runs down the left wing.
Predicted chance of winning:
| Germany win |
Draw |
Northern Ireland win |
| 83.5% |
11.8% |
4.7% |
Nick Woltemade to score at odds of around 1.95 is another player bet from our AI model, which obviously assumes that there will be many German goalscorers. In any case, it’s a useful suggestion.
Germany to win to nil at an average of 1.60 is also a good bet. It’s not a huge payout, but the chances of Northern Ireland scoring a consolation goal are very slim.
The best odds for Germany vs. Northern Ireland
Germany vs. Northern Ireland – a match that looks like a clear-cut affair on paper, but that’s exactly why it has its own unique appeal for bookmakers.
Merkur Bets and VBET Germany have the best odds for you: a win for the DFB team is almost a certainty at 1.13, a draw brings in 8.00, and anyone betting on a miracle from Northern Ireland could win big with a whopping 20.0.
Sure, the favorites are clear, but odds like these for Germany vs. Northern Ireland are practically begging for a daring bet on the underdog or exciting combinations on your betting slip.
Germany vs. Northern Ireland match analysis:
Germany is playing really well under Julian Nagelsmann, even after the Slovakia faux pas! Before that, there were only two defeats in the previous 15 competitive games in regular time – and those were against Portugal and France.
Against Northern Ireland, the DFB team should clearly take control of the game.
Without Jamal Musiala, Florian Wirtz is the central offensive threat in midfield. The Liverpool pro averages 6.46 progressive passes and 0.34 assists per 90 minutes, making him a key player.
Northern Ireland will have to mark him closely, otherwise Germany will control the attacking spaces. Added to this is Nagelsmann’s high-quality passing from deep, which has led to an average of 61.7% possession so far.
The DFB team always shows attacking intent: with 17.1 shots per competitive game, they have 7.6 more attempts than their opponents. So there will be plenty of chances.
Caution is only needed when it comes to set pieces – Northern Ireland scored with headers in their last two competitive games before the World Cup qualifiers and could be dangerous here too. Otherwise, everything points to a dominant performance from the hosts.
Germany form check
After home defeats to Portugal and France in the Nations League finals, national coach Julian Nagelsmann has brought a breath of fresh air to the team and integrated three new faces: Finn Dahmen (FC Augsburg), Nnamdi Collins (Eintracht Frankfurt), and Paul Nebel (Mainz 05).
Despite these reinforcements, several key players are missing due to injury: Jamal Musiala, Kai Havertz, Nico Schlotterbeck, and Marc-André ter Stegen are unavailable, while Leroy Sané is settling into his new role at Galatasaray.
It is interesting to note that Joshua Kimmich is back in his defensive midfield position and not playing at right-back as he did recently. In any case, the motto against Northern Ireland is “redemption.”
Northern Ireland form check
After a successful era that included participation in Euro 2016 and narrowly missed tournaments such as the 2018 World Cup and Euro 2020, the Northern Ireland team has undergone a major transformation.
Players such as Steven Davis, Stuart Dallas, and the Evans brothers have now retired.
In their place, promising talents such as Conor Bradley, Isaac Price, Shea Charles, and Trai Hume are coming to the fore. Coach Michael O’Neill is back and has set his sights on qualifying the team for the World Cup for the first time since 1986.
