Portugal Cup, quarter final, Thursday, 02/27/2025 at 9:45 PM
Don’t throw away the 2024/25 season now! Actually, Sporting Lisbon are doing really well, but for a few weeks now, things have been going badly wrong. They’ve already been knocked out of the Champions League, and they don’t want that to happen in the cup as well.
In the quarter-final, which will be played late Thursday evening, the team is the clear favorite. But in my Gil Vicente Sporting Lisbon betting tip, I reveal why I could well imagine a very close game and therefore bet on a +2 handicap for the underdog!
Two teams with 53 points at the top – it’s going to be an interesting showdown in Portugal! The two top clubs from Lisbon are neck and neck, separated by just a few goals. So, is this cause for satisfaction? Not necessarily.
Sporting once had a comfortable lead, but unfortunately that’s now been used up. They dominated the league for a long time, only failing to win four of the first 20 games.
Suddenly things aren’t going so well. 1-1 against Porto, 2-2 against Arouca and 2-2 against AVS Futebol, three consecutive draws! Of course, I also have to mention the Champions League briefly.
They were knocked out in the playoffs against Dortmund, following a 0-3 home defeat with a 0-0 away draw. Against AVS, the team squandered a 2-0 lead, conceding a last-gasp equalizer. The draw? It was well-deserved, because in the statistics, Sporting were not ahead.
Which underlines the tense situation: in the last three league games, there has always been a sending-off! No question about it, the nerves are not the best, it’s time for a new competition.
In the cup, the green-whites had started with a 2-1 win against Portimonense, and a little later won 6-0 against Amarante. Shortly before Christmas, the team was lucky not to be knocked out early.
Extra time was needed against Santa Clara to confirm the 2-1 win. The fact that the semi-final tie is now at stake away from home does not necessarily have to be an advantage, because five of the last six away games in the league have not been won.
In four of the last seven away games, there were at least two goals conceded. If you want to bet on Betano that Gil Vicente will score a double on Thursday, you will get a strong rate of 4.55!
An incredibly high value, even a single hit would bring it to a 1.75. And while you’re at Betano, you should definitely take a look at the lucrative bonus.
In the last five years, fans waited in vain for a cup triumph, with their team also dropping out before the semi-finals three times. Incidentally, this is the first time that Gil Vicente has met Sporting in the Taca.
The first meeting of the season ended in a goalless draw, not really a game to write home about. Since four duels in Barcelos, Sporting have kept a clean sheet, but two of them were also a boring 0-0.
2-1, 3-2, 1-1, 1-1 – what kind of results are they? All the direct duels in Gil Vicente’s stadium that took place in February were not clear-cut!
And yet, our PayPal betting providers are expecting a clear outcome. They are sending both teams onto the pitch with average odds of 1.47 to 7.50, so a home win would be a big surprise.
Gil Vicente is in the relegation battle, having won only five times and scored just 23 goals. That’s a quick look at the league, where the last five games (with only one goal) have all ended without a point.
At least they have not conceded more than two goals in almost three months. Twelve goals conceded at home is a strong record in any case, and they have only lost by two goals once, 0-2 to Famalicao.
In the cup, Gil Vicente got off to a good start with a 2-0 win over Belenenses, followed by a 2-0 win over Vila Real. A 1-0 win over Moreirense secured a place in the quarter-finals, meaning the team has yet to concede a goal in the Taca.
When was the last time the club reached the semi-finals? The simple answer is: just once, in the 2015/16 season! Last season, they were knocked out in the last eight, and that now threatens to happen again.
What is wrong with Sporting Lisbon? There is no question about it, the Portuguese top club is stumbling, and is on the verge of losing the lead in the table. Especially away from home, they are suddenly finding it very difficult.
One win in the last six away games, many goals conceded, knocked out of the Champions League, all these factors could play into Gil Vicente’s hands. But now it so happens that the hosts themselves are not in form.
They have suffered defeat after defeat, so their hopes rest on home advantage. Since Gil Vicente defends really well at home and never loses by a clear margin, I have decided on the following tip:
The hosts “win” by a 2-0 handicap!
