Bundesliga Matchday 7, Saturday, 19.10.2024 at 15:30
Game one after the international break for Gladbach and Heidenheim. The Foals have big plans. Only two wins from the first six games. They came away empty-handed four times. They will be aiming for a three-pointer at home.
Head coach Gerardo Seoane is also hoping for the striker qualities of Tim Kleindienst, who will face his old employers on Saturday afternoon. He has already scored three goals for Gladbach. Will he give his old love a stab in the heart?
I don’t really trust Gladbach to win, their defense is too shaky for that, as it was last season. Instead, I’ll use the Bwin configurator to put together a bet for my Gladbach Heidenheim tip that assumes a goal in both halves.
The situation for Seoane is critical. After a weak last season, Gladbach are not getting going this season either. According to media reports, there is also unrest in the dressing room and things are not looking good for the Swiss head coach.
This makes three points against Heidenheim all the more important – three must-win points at home, mind you. Most recently, his team lost 2-1 at FC Augsburg, with Kleindienst only able to score the equalizer in the second 45 minutes.
The oddsmakers’ forecast
Despite their poor start to the season, Happybet and Co. have assigned Gladbach the role of favourites for Saturday, although the odds of 1.85 are not particularly high against the Conference League participants.
Heidenheim is given a 3.90, the draw is just below that (3.80). No odds really make me smile. In the double chance bets, only the X2 variant with a 1.90 is lucrative, like the home win bet, it carries too much risk in my eyes.
I can imagine all outcomes in this match. Does the AI agree with me?
KI prediction Gladbach vs. Heidenheim: ChatGPT
You already know it from many other tips from us, ChatGPT has suggested a variant with low, medium and high risk. For Gladbach vs Heidenheim, the AI throws in the over 2.5 goals.
I agree with the odds, which are ultimately very similar to my “goal in both halves” tip. In general, the bet with lower risk is often similar to the odds I selected in advance.
For at least three goals per game, Oddset will give you 1.61.
The other ChatGPT options are wilder. The Gladbach win with -1 Asian handicap is the medium risk option. With the 2.42 odds, Gladbach must win by at least two goals to win.
In the event of a one-goal lead, the stake will be refunded. In the event of a draw or worse, the bet is lost.
It is interesting to note that the AI selects the Heidenheim away win at high risk. To be honest, I find the 3.90 for the away win more lucrative and more likely. I don’t expect a clear home win for the hosts after their weak start to the season against a fairly consistent Heidenheim team.
Analysis: Gladbach vs. Heidenheim
What Gladbach and Heidenheim have in common, by the way, is that neither team has played to a draw so far. Heidenheim have three wins from six games, but only lost on the road in Dortmund (2:4), although they stayed in the game for a long time.
Cult coach Frank Schmidt’s team also suffered defeats against Freiburg (0:3) and Leipzig (0:1). Away from home, the team from the small town in Baden-Württemberg bagged two 2-0 wins against St. Pauli and Mainz, with another three-pointer coming against Augsburg (4-0).
After two matchdays, 1. FCH even led the Bundesliga table. The club is currently in ninth place after three defeats in its last four games and, after a successful qualifying campaign, also won its first match against Ljubljana in the Conference League.
Overall, Schmidt has been busy experimenting with the playing system. In the league, he alternated between a back four and a back five. Recently, the three-man central defensive line has been seen more often. Internationally, a 4-1-4-1 and 4-3-3 were also used at times.
Ratings analysis
As in the previous season, Heidenheim don’t just have one player who is dangerous in goal. Despite the changes to the squad, Schmidt has once again succeeded in quickly forming a competitive team. After all, his three best attacking players – Kleindienst, Eren Dinkci and Jan-Niklas Beste – left in the summer.
With Marvin Pieringer, Paul Wanner, Maximilian Breuning and Jan Schöppner, he already has four players in his ranks who have scored twice in the Bundesliga. In that respect, the Heidenheim goalscoring market is not interesting.
The only thing I find lucrative is Kleindienst’s odds of 2.40. The 29-year-old has come back from the international break full of energy, having made his first appearances for the national team against Bosnia and the Netherlands, both times from the start.
Playing against his former club is also a special attraction for him. The man who fired Heidenheim into the Bundesliga with a last-minute goal against Regensburg knows the Heidenheim defense very well.
Kleindienst has scored in three of the six games. With 18 goals, he is the player with the seventh most shots on goal in the league. Gladbach have created the fifth most chances so far with 84, while Heidenheim have 70.
Gladbach vs Heidenheim odds: Will both offenses strike?
With the 1:0 against Union Berlin, we have recently experienced a rather meager home game of the foals. But that’s the exception rather than the rule. As a rule, Gladbach’s home games offer neutral spectators plenty of action.
This was the case in the 2:3 against Leverkusen with 39 scoring chances and also in the 1:3 against VfB Stuttgart. Last season, with 53 goals in 17 home matches, the average of 3.00 goals per match was also exceeded.
27:26 goals and Gladbach’s clean sheet has only lasted twice so far this year. I also find the goal for both teams at 1.58 odds very interesting. Oddset often provides the best odds for this market.
The goal in both halves also in the last duels
The goal in both halves would not have been a bad choice in the first Bundesliga encounters last season. Both Borussia’s 2:1 win in the first leg and the 1:1 draw in the reunion were scored in both periods.
In the meantime, the teams faced each other in the second round of the DFB Cup, and again a goal was scored in both 45 minutes. Kleindienst, incidentally, failed to score in all three games against his new employers.
Gladbach and Heidenheim had only faced each other once before in 2011, also in round two of the DFB Cup. Back then, Heidenheim, as a third-division side, were automatically handed the right to play at home, with Gladbach coming out on top in the penalty shoot-out after a 0-0 draw.
Both teams will have to make compromises in their line-ups on Saturday. Gladbach are still missing goalkeeper and captain Jonas Omlin. Franck Honorat and Nathan Ngoumou are also missing at full-back.
Heidenheim are currently without Julian Niehues and the suspended Niklas Dorsch. Schmidt will also not be able to call on Denis Thomalla on Saturday.
My Gladbach Heidenheim tip:
Gladbach v Heidenheim, we had that three times last season and three times we experienced quite entertaining games in which there was at least one goal to be seen in each half.
This time, too, I’m expecting another pretty spectacular match at Borussia-Park, which is often the scene of high-scoring affairs. Gladbach want to play for victory at home, are in desperate need of points after four defeats and head coach Seoane is under pressure.
Heidenheim, however, have immense counter-attacking qualities and a number of goal-scoring players in their ranks. I expect an attractive game of soccer right from the start.
My Gladbach Heidenheim prediction: Goal in both halves!
